Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)

Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Setanta Sports 2
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2
Brazil	SporTV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	Okko Sport 2, Okko Sport
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Serbia	Arena Sport 2, SportKlub 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Hoffenheim		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	7.5	5.25	1.36	Watch
	7.4	5.4	1.37	Watch
	7.65	5.8	1.39
	5.01	4.13	1.61	Watch
	8.18	5.38	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.15 ↓ (7.36)	5.19 ↓ (5.58)	1.42 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
13.5%

Draw
18.6%

Bayern Munich
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13%

17.1%

69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7%

16.7%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.5%	7%	75.4%

Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 10 - 17.5%). Bayern will win (votes: 43 - 75.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 64.2% – 86.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Bayern (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Bayern (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Bayern (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Half - Bayern (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +2 - Hoffenheim (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Bayern (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (16 of 20 users predict this - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Bayern (votes: 21 - 80.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 2. Hranac R. 21. Hajdari A. 13. Bernardo 29. Toure B. 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 22. Prass A. 11. Asllani F. 10. Damar M.	1. Neuer M. (C) 23. Boey S. 4. Tah J. 3. Kim Min-Jae 27. Laimer K. 45. Pavlovic A. 8. Goretzka L. 42. Karl L. 11. Jackson N. 14. Diaz L. 9. Kane H.
Substitutes
25. Akpoguma K. 35. Arthur Chaves 9. Bebou I. 53. Benjamin P. 27. Kramaric A. 24. Mokwa Ntusu D. 37. Philipp L. (G) 6. Promel G. 17. Tohumcu U.	20. Bischof T. 7. Gnabry S. 22. Guerreiro R. 30. Kiala C. 6. Kimmich J. 36. Mike W. 17. Olise M. 2. Upamecano D. 40. Urbig J. (G)
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Kompany V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Coufal V. 🟨,
12', Diaz L. 🟨,
29', Goretzka L. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, Karl L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
48', 0 - 2, Kane H. (Pen),
62', Goretzka L. ↓, Kimmich J. ↑,
62', Karl L. ↓, Olise M. ↑,
62', Jackson N. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
66', Damar M. ↓, Kramaric A. ↑,
69', Kim Min-Jae ↓, Upamecano D. ↑,
77', 0 - 3, Kane H. (Pen),
78', Burger W. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
78', Asllani F. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
82', 1 - 3, Coufal V. ⚽,
83', Coufal V. ↓, Akpoguma K. ↑,
83', Avdullahu L. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
86', Boey S. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
90+9', 1 - 4, Gnabry S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 1.

Hoffenheim is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bayern is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hoffenheim has had a series of away games.

In this match, Bayern is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Foot Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone) Stanisic J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bayern: Guerreiro R. (Abdominal strain)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:51. (average 1.2:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.4:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Bayern Munich - the odds 1.37 are the expected chance of winning is 69.9%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
13.09.25	Union Berlin - Hoffenheim	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Hoffenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Bayer Leverkusen - Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.25	Hansa Rostock - Hoffenheim	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.25	Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WLWWW
- Bayern Munich
UEFA Champions League
17.09.25	Bayern Munich - Chelsea	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
13.09.25	Bayern Munich - Hamburger SV	5:0 ✺
30.08.25	Augsburg - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
German DFB Pokal
27.08.25	Wehen Wiesbaden - Bayern Munich	2:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.08.25	Bayern Munich - RB Leipzig	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
17.05.25	Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	0:4
15.01.25	Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim	5:0
18.05.24	Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	4:2
12.01.24	Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim	3:0
15.04.23	Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim	1:1
22.10.22	Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	0:2
12.03.22	Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich	1:1

Upcoming Matches