Match Info

GERMANY: DFB Pokal - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3, Sky Sport Austria 7
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6, Moja TV
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	DFB Play, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport 7, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event, tv.dfb.de, WOW
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Go, Sooka
Montenegro	Arena Sport 4
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Switzerland	Sky Sport Top Event
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 11
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	Hoffenheim		Nürnberg

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.75	5.75	Watch
	1.47	4.8	5.75
	1.48	5	6	Watch
	1.49	4.8	5.96
	1.49	4.89	5.76	Watch
	1.4	4.6	5.8
	1.48	4.85	5.85	Watch
	1.48	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.36)	4.84 ↓ (5.02)	5.86 ↓ (6.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
64.3%

Draw
19.6%

Nürnberg
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

18.3%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

18%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	11.1%	22.2%

Hoffenheim - Nürnberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Nürnberg will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 35. Arthur Chaves 16. Stach A. 25. Akpoguma K. 3. Kaderabek P. 17. Tohumcu U. 11. Grillitsch F. 19. Jurasek D. 23. Hlozek A. 21. Bulter M. 26. Tabakovic H.	26. Mathenia C. (G) 4. Jeltsch F. 31. Knoche R. (C) 44. Karafiat O. 2. Villadsen O. 20. Jander C. 17. Castrop J. 21. Yilmaz B. 10. Justvan J. 30. Emreli M. 9. Tzimas S.
Substitutes
10. Berisha M. 7. Bischof T. 29. Bruun Larsen J. 4. Drexler T. 15. Gendrey V. 27. Kramaric A. 34. Nsoki S. 37. Philipp L. (G) 18. Samassekou D.	8. Duman T. 6. Flick F. 14. Goller B. 43. Hofmann J. 37. Kukucka M. (G) 18. Lubach R. 36. Schleimer L. 33. Seidel N. 22. Valentini E.
Coaches
Matarazzo P.	Klose M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', Tzimas S. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, Tabakovic H. ⚽,
30', Tohumcu U. 🟨,
34', Justvan J. 🟨,
37', Stach A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Emreli M. ⚽, Justvan J. (A),
62', Bulter M. ↓, Kramaric A. ↑,
70', Tzimas S. ↓, Schleimer L. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Arthur Chaves ⚽, Tohumcu U. (A),
72', Grillitsch F. ↓, Bischof T. ↑,
72', Hlozek A. ↓, Berisha M. ↑,
81', Villadsen O. ↓, Lubach R. ↑,
81', Emreli M. ↓, Hofmann J. ↑,
84', Stach A. ↓, Drexler T. ↑,
85', Castrop J. ↓, Duman T. ↑,
90+4', Matarazzo P. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Nürnberg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hoffenheim is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15:21 (average 1.9:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Hoffenheim won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:12 (average 2:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
27.10.24	Heidenheim - Hoffenheim	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
24.10.24	Porto - Hoffenheim	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
19.10.24	Hoffenheim - Bochum	3:1 ✺
06.10.24	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Hoffenheim - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLWTW
- 1. FC Nürnberg
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.24	Nürnberg - Jahn Regensburg	8:3 ✺
20.10.24	Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg	0:4 ✺
05.10.24	Nürnberg - Preußen Münster	3:2 ✺
29.09.24	Hannover - Nürnberg	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Nürnberg - Hertha Berlin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
22.08.20	Hoffenheim - Nürnberg	2:5
German Bundesliga
10.03.19	Hoffenheim - Nürnberg	2:1
20.10.18	Nürnberg - Hoffenheim	1:3
25.01.14	Nürnberg - Hoffenheim	4:0
10.08.13	Hoffenheim - Nürnberg	2:2
27.04.13	Hoffenheim - Nürnberg	2:1
28.11.12	Nürnberg - Hoffenheim	4:2

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