Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: MHPArena (Stuttgart) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, Startimes World Football, ZAP
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 2
Angola	15:30	Z Sports 1
Argentina	11:30	Disney+
Armenia	18:30	Setanta Sports 2
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Azerbaijan	18:30	Setanta Sports 2
Bulgaria	16:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada, OneSoccer
Chile	11:30	Disney+
China	22:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	09:30	Disney+
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Georgia	18:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	15:30	Arena 4
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	16:30	Sport 3
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:30	Setanta Sports 2
Kyrgyzstan	20:30	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
Moldova	16:30	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	22:30	Premier Sports 4
Mozambique	16:30	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	22:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	15:30	Voyo
Slovenia	15:30	Sport TV1
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Tajikistan	19:30	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	19:30	Setanta Sports 2
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	19:30	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Stuttgart		Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.8	3.7	Watch
	1.98	3.7	3.55	Watch
	2.08	3.91	3.38
	1.98	3.93	3.48	Watch
	1.95	3.6	3.4
	1.98	3.86	3.75	Watch
	2	3.8	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.91)	3.8 ↓ (4.06)	3.54 (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stuttgart
48%

Draw
25.1%

Hoffenheim
27%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.8%

23.4%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

23.5%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stuttgart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.1%	17.1%	45.7%

Stuttgart - Hoffenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Stuttgart will win (votes: 13 - 37.1%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 16 - 45.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 29.2% – 62.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Hoffenheim (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

DC - Hoffenheim (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.25 - Hoffenheim (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Stuttgart (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Hoffenheim (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nubel A. (G) 4. Vagnoman J. 29. Jeltsch F. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 16. Karazor A. (C) 6. Stiller A. 8. Tomas T. 28. Nartey N. 18. Leweling J. 26. Undav D.	1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 2. Hranac R. 21. Hajdari A. 13. Bernardo 6. Promel G. 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 22. Prass A. 19. Lemperle T. 11. Asllani F.
Substitutes
2. Al Dakhil A. 30. Andres C. 27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 10. Fuhrich C. 3. Hendriks R. 45. Jovanovic L. 15. Stenzel P. 20. Stergiou L.	9. Bebou I. 10. Damar M. 15. Gendrey V. 23. Hlozek A. 5. Kabak O. 27. Kramaric A. 33. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 17. Tohumcu U.
Coaches
Hoeness S.	Ilzer C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Stiller A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jeltsch F. ↓, Al Dakhil A. ↑,
48', Karazor A. 🟨,
60', Hranac R. 🟨,
65', Asllani F. ↓, Kramaric A. ↑,
66', Hajdari A. 🟨,
68', Tomas T. 🟨,
69', Tomas T. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
73', Hajdari A. ↓, Kabak O. ↑,
88', Prass A. ↓, Gendrey V. ↑,
88', Lemperle T. ↓, Hlozek A. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 1.

Recent performances by Stuttgart have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hoffenheim is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stuttgart may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Stuttgart could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Stuttgart: Assignon L. (Shoulder Injury) Demirovic E. (Foot Injury) Diehl J. (Ankle Injury) El Khannouss B. (International duty) Jaquez L. (Muscle Injury) Keitel Y. (Thigh Injury) Silas (Ankle Injury) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Machida K. (Knee Injury) Toure B. (International duty)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stuttgart won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 38:32. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Stuttgart won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 2.3:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Hoffenheim - the odds 3.54 are the expected chance of winning is 26.84%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
14.12.25	Werder Bremen - Stuttgart	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Stuttgart - Maccabi Tel Aviv	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
06.12.25	Stuttgart - Bayern Munich	0:5 ✺
German DFB Pokal
03.12.25	Bochum - Stuttgart	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.11.25	Hamburger SV - Stuttgart	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWL
- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
13.12.25	Hoffenheim - Hamburger SV	4:1 ✺
07.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Hoffenheim - Augsburg	3:0 ✺
21.11.25	Mainz - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
23.02.25	Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	1:1
06.10.24	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	1:1
16.03.24	Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	0:3
28.10.23	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	2:3
27.05.23	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	1:1
24.01.23	Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	2:2
25.02.22	Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	2:1

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