Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: PreZero Arena (Sinsheim)

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 10
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 10
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 1
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 6
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Sportklub 10
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 10
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	beIN Connect
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball app


	Hoffenheim		Bochum

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.75	4.5	Watch
	1.63	4.5	4.5
	1.62	4.75	4.75	Watch
	1.62	4.8	4.84
	1.65	4.79	4.64	Watch
	1.62	4.5	4.6	Watch
	1.66	4.84	4.84	Watch
	1.62	4.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)	4.71 ↑ (4.4)	4.68 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
59%

Draw
20.4%

Bochum
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

21.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

21.3%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	11.9%	9.5%

Hoffenheim - Bochum Predictions

Users Predictions: Hoffenheim will win (33 of 42 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.16% – 90.98%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 25. Akpoguma K. 16. Stach A. 35. Arthur Chaves 15. Gendrey V. 7. Bischof T. 11. Grillitsch F. 22. Prass A. 27. Kramaric A. 23. Hlozek A. 21. Bulter M.	27. Drewes P. (G) 15. Passlack F. 4. Masovic E. 20. Ordets I. 32. Wittek M. 24. Pannewig M. 8. Losilla A. (C) 23. Miyoshi K. 10. de Wit D. 29. Broschinski M. 33. Hofmann P.
Substitutes
29. Bruun Larsen J. 4. Drexler T. 2. Hranac R. 13. Lenz C. 33. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 18. Samassekou D. 26. Tabakovic H. 17. Tohumcu U.	18. Bamba S. 7. Daschner L. 2. Gamboa C. 21. Holtmann G. 1. Horn T. (G) 11. Kwarteng M. 13. Medic J. 14. Oermann T. 6. Sissoko I.
Coaches
Matarazzo P.	Zeidler P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Kramaric A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', de Wit D. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
46', Pannewig M. ↓, Kwarteng M. ↑,
46', Miyoshi K. ↓, Daschner L. ↑,
55', Masovic E. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Bulter M. ⚽, Bischof T. (A),
66', Passlack F. ↓, Gamboa C. ↑,
72', Prass A. ↓, Bruun Larsen J. ↑,
72', Grillitsch F. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Gamboa C. ⚽, Daschner L. (A),
78', Broschinski M. ↓, Holtmann G. ↑,
80', Arthur Chaves ↓, Drexler T. ↑,
80', Hlozek A. ↓, Tabakovic H. ↑,
82', Bulter M. 🟨,
88', Daschner L. (Pen),
90+2', Kramaric A. ↓, Samassekou D. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Tabakovic H. ⚽, Bruun Larsen J. (A),

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 2.

Recent matches Hoffenheim is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bochum has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hoffenheim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hoffenheim is a favorite.

There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I. (Injury) Becker F. O. (Knee Injury) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Kaderabek P. (Muscle Injury) Nsoki S. (Red Card) Promel G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Bochum: Bernardo (Knee Injury) Bero M. (Injury) Tolba M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Drexler T. (Injury) Geiger D. (Back Injury) Jurasek D. (Broken Hand)

There are questionable in Bochum: Boadu M. (Hip Injury) Kwarteng M. (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.7:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Hoffenheim won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
06.10.24	Stuttgart - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
03.10.24	Hoffenheim - Dynamo Kyiv	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.09.24	Hoffenheim - Werder Bremen	3:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
25.09.24	Midtjylland - Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
21.09.24	Union Berlin - Hoffenheim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLTL
- VfL Bochum
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Köln - Bochum	3:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
05.10.24	Bochum - Wolfsburg	1:3 ✺
27.09.24	Borussia Dortmund - Bochum	4:2 ✺
21.09.24	Bochum - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Freiburg - Bochum	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
26.04.24	Bochum - Hoffenheim	3:2
08.12.23	Hoffenheim - Bochum	3:1
04.02.23	Bochum - Hoffenheim	5:2
13.08.22	Hoffenheim - Bochum	3:2
02.04.22	Hoffenheim - Bochum	1:2
06.11.21	Bochum - Hoffenheim	2:0
Club Friendly
12.01.14	Hoffenheim - Bochum	1:0

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