Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim)

Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Heidenheim		Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.75	1.53	Watch
	5	4.6	1.57
	5.4	4.45	1.58	Watch
	5.3	4.8	1.58
	5.15	4.71	1.56	Watch
	5	4.2	1.53
	5.58	4.78	1.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.24 ↑ (4.66)	4.61 ↑ (4.32)	1.56 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
18.2%

Draw
20.7%

Hoffenheim
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.4%

22%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

21.7%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.8%	9.8%	82.4%

Heidenheim - Hoffenheim Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Hoffenheim (1.84) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.5 - Heidenheim (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Hoffenheim will win (42 of 50 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.84% – 94.16%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hoffenheim will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Hoffenheim (votes: 16 - 84.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Ramaj D. (G) 23. Traore O. H. 6. Mainka P. (C) 5. Gimber B. 26. Behrens H. 30. Dorsch N. 3. Schoppner J. 20. Kerber L. 11. Zivzivadze B. 18. Pieringer M. 17. Honsak M.	1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 5. Kabak O. 21. Hajdari A. 13. Bernardo 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 22. Prass A. 27. Kramaric A. 29. Toure B. 11. Asllani F.
Substitutes
21. Beck A. 2. Busch M. 10. Conteh C. 31. Conteh S. 8. Dinkci E. 40. Feller F. (G) 19. Fohrenbach J. 16. Niehues J. 9. Schimmer S.	25. Akpoguma K. 20. Campbell C. 10. Damar M. 15. Gendrey V. 2. Hranac R. 19. Lemperle T. 33. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G) 6. Promel G.
Coaches
Schmidt F.	Volz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Prass A. ⚽, Asllani F. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, Prass A. ⚽, Kramaric A. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Honsak M. ↓, Conteh C. ↑,
46', Pieringer M. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
49', 0 - 3, Asllani F. ⚽,
63', 1 - 3, Kerber L. ⚽, Behrens H. (A),
63', Traore O. H. ↓, Busch M. ↑,
63', Dorsch N. ↓, Dinkci E. ↑,
65', Burger W. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
72', Schoppner J. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
77', Hajdari A. ↓, Hranac R. ↑,
77', Kramaric A. ↓, Lemperle T. ↑,
78', 1 - 4, Lemperle T. ⚽, Toure B. (A),
84', 2 - 4, Kerber L. ⚽, Behrens H. (A),
87', Asllani F. ↓, Damar M. ↑,
88', Toure B. ↓, Gendrey V. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 0.

Heidenheim has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hoffenheim has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hoffenheim is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Hoffenheim: 0.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7:10	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
28.02.26	Werder Bremen - Heidenheim	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Heidenheim - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
15.02.26	Augsburg - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Heidenheim - Hamburger SV	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLLL
- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
28.02.26	Hoffenheim - St. Pauli	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Köln - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Hoffenheim - Freiburg	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim	5:1 ✺
31.01.26	Hoffenheim - Union Berlin	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Hoffenheim - Heidenheim	3:1
09.03.25	Hoffenheim - Heidenheim	1:1
27.10.24	Heidenheim - Hoffenheim	0:0
27.01.24	Hoffenheim - Heidenheim	1:1
26.08.23	Heidenheim - Hoffenheim	2:3
Club Friendly
09.07.22	Hoffenheim - Heidenheim	2:0
17.07.21	Heidenheim - Hoffenheim	1:0

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