Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 28

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

Referee: Burda M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
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Portugal	DAZN / App
Saudi-arabia	MBC Shahid
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN
World	Onefootball


	Holstein Kiel		Preußen Münster

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.9	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.98	3.8	3.89
	1.93	3.75	3.72	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.6	Watch
	1.94	3.56	3.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.88)	3.64 ↓ (3.84)	3.68 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
48.7%

Draw
25.8%

Preußen Münster
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

24.6%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

22.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Preußen Münster has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preußen Münster than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Holstein Kiel - Preußen Münster Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weiner T. (G) 13. Nekic I. 26. Zec D. 6. Ivezic M. 47. Tolkin J. 7. Skrzybski S. (C) 28. Meffert J. 15. Davidsen K. 20. Kapralik A. 19. Harres P. 10. Therkelsen J.	1. Schenk J. (G) 24. Koulis N. 22. Heuer J. 3. Jaeckel P. 27. ter Horst J. 10. Schulz M. 20. Hendrix J. (C) 14. Makridis C. 8. Mees J. 30. Amenyido E. 17. Batista Meier O.
Substitutes
18. Jakupovic A. 21. Krumrey J. (G) 25. Muller M. 29. Niehoff N. 40. Parduzi L. 23. Rosenboom L. 2. Roslyng F. 22. Schwab S. 49. Ugoh I.	26. Behrens M. (G) 6. Benger M. 5. Bouchama Y. 2. Kirkeskov M. 13. Lokotsch L. 16. Paetow T. 32. Raschl T. 29. Rondic I. 11. Vilhelmsson O.
Coaches
Walter T.	Schwartz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Ivezic M. 🟨,
16', Batista Meier O. ↓, Lokotsch L. ↑,
28', Davidsen K. 🟨,
40', Lokotsch L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', Schulz M. 🟨,
65', Schulz M. ↓, Bouchama Y. ↑,
65', Mees J. ↓, Kirkeskov M. ↑,
69', Davidsen K. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
71', Tolkin J. 🟨,
75', Therkelsen J. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
83', Heuer J. 🟨,
87', Harres P. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
87', Nekic I. ↓, Rosenboom L. ↑,
87', Amenyido E. ↓, Rondic I. ↑,
87', Lokotsch L. ↓, Vilhelmsson O. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 0.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Holstein Kiel might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Holstein Kiel: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Holstein Kiel	7	0	4	3	7:11	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
22.03.26	Bochum - Holstein Kiel	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Elversberg	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLTL
- Preußen Münster
German 2 Bundesliga
22.03.26	Preußen Münster - Magdeburg	1:3 ✺
15.03.26	Dynamo Dresden - Preußen Münster	6:0 ✺
08.03.26	Preußen Münster - Hertha Berlin	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Preußen Münster	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Preußen Münster - Kaiserslautern	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
31.10.25	Preußen Münster - Holstein Kiel	2:1
German 3 Bundesliga
09.04.17	Holstein Kiel - Preußen Münster	0:0
29.10.16	Preußen Münster - Holstein Kiel	1:1
16.04.16	Holstein Kiel - Preußen Münster	0:0
31.10.15	Preußen Münster - Holstein Kiel	2:0
21.02.15	Preußen Münster - Holstein Kiel	1:3
30.08.14	Holstein Kiel - Preußen Münster	1:1

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