Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: BBBank Wildpark (Karlsruhe) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	09:00	Disney+
Armenia	16:00	Fast Sports
Australia	23:00	beIN Connect, ESPN
Austria	13:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Canada	07:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	09:00	Disney+
Colombia	07:00	Disney+, ESPN
Denmark	13:00	Viaplay
Finland	14:00	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	13:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Hong Kong	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Iceland	12:00	Viaplay
Laos	19:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	13:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	06:00	Sky Sport
Netherlands	13:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	01:00	beIN Connect
Norway	13:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	07:00	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	12:00	DAZN / App
Romania	14:00	Prima Sport PPV 2
Saudi Arabia	15:00	MBC Shahid
Singapore	20:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	13:00	Sport TV1
Sweden	13:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:00	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	15:00	Tivibu Spor 3
Uruguay	09:00	Disney+
Usa	07:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	08:00	Disney+, ESPN
International	12:00	Onefootball


	Karlsruher		Holstein Kiel

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.9	Watch
	2.65	3.6	2.5
	2.48	3.35	2.62	Watch
	2.72	3.63	2.57
	2.67	3.54	2.53	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.7	Watch
	2.44	3.3	2.94	Watch
	2.57	3.5	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↓ (2.83)	3.43 ↓ (3.58)	2.67 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlsruher
37.1%

Draw
27.5%

Holstein Kiel
35.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.7%

25.9%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

24.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Holstein Kiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karlsruher that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holstein Kiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	27.8%	16.7%

Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karlsruher: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Karlsruher (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Karlsruher (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Karlsruher (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bernat C. (G) 22. Kobald C. 28. Franke M. 5. Ambrosius S. 2. Jung S. 8. Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 20. Herold D. 7. Burnic D. 10. Wanitzek M. (C) 9. Simic R. 19. Ben Farhat L.	21. Krumrey J. (G) 13. Nekic I. 26. Zec D. 3. Komenda M. (C) 23. Rosenboom L. 28. Meffert J. 15. Davidsen K. 47. Tolkin J. 16. Kelati A. 10. Therkelsen J. 19. Harres P.
Substitutes
11. Forster P. 13. Fukuda S. 30. Himmelmann R. (G) 16. Muller A. 17. Opitz L. 36. Pinto Pedrosa R. 24. Schleusener F. 15. Scholl P. 21. Waschenbach M.	6. Ivezic M. 18. Jakupovic A. 20. Kapralik A. 25. Muller M. 29. Niehoff N. 2. Roslyng F. 22. Schwab S. 8. Tohumcu U. 1. Weiner T. (G)
Coaches
Eichner C.	Rapp M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Wanitzek M. ⚽, Ben Farhat L. (A),
33', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 🟨,
40', Zec D. 🟨,
45+4', Kelati A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Rosenboom L. ↓, Kapralik A. ↑,
53', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↓, Waschenbach M. ↑,
54', Simic R. 🟨,
60', Meffert J. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Ben Farhat L. ⚽, Jung S. (A),
62', Simic R. ↓, Schleusener F. ↑,
64', Tolkin J. 🟨,
65', Ben Farhat L. 🟨,
66', Waschenbach M. 🟨,
69', Kelati A. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
69', Tolkin J. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
73', Burnic D. 🟨,
76', Burnic D. ↓, Pinto Pedrosa R. ↑,
76', Ben Farhat L. ↓, Opitz L. ↑,
78', Nekic I. 🟨,
81', Nekic I. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
83', 3 - 0, Wanitzek M. ⚽,
90', Jakupovic A. 🟨,
90+1', Wanitzek M. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', 3 - 1, Muller M. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 0.

Recent performances by Karlsruher have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Holstein Kiel is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Holstein Kiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Karlsruher: Beifus M. (Knee Injury) Egloff L. (Inactive) Rapp N. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Foot Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Skrzybski S. (Muscle Injury) Tohumcu U. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1.2:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Karlsruher won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Holstein Kiel	9	1	5	3	10:11	-1	8
17	Karlsruher SC	9	2	2	5	11:20	-9	8

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Holstein Kiel: 0.68%

Last Results with these Odds

Karlsruher - the odds 2.83 are the expected chance of winning is 32.71%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
13.02.26	Nürnberg - Karlsruher	5:1 ✺
08.02.26	Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Eintracht Braunschweig - Karlsruher	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Karlsruher - Hertha Berlin	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Preußen Münster - Karlsruher	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTLTW
- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
15.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Hannover - Holstein Kiel	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
04.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
31.01.26	Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth	1:2 ✺
23.01.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
21.09.25	Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher	3:0
09.03.24	Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher	1:0
30.09.23	Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel	0:2
13.05.23	Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher	2:1
05.11.22	Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel	1:4
19.02.22	Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher	0:2
11.09.21	Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel	2:2

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