Match Info

HONDURAS: LIGA NACIONAL - CLAUSURA - ROUND 18

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Humberto Micheletti (El Progreso)


	Honduras Progreso		Motagua

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.3	2.2
	2.76	3.39	2.21
	2.84	3.5	2.23
	2.8	3.45	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (2.9)	3.41 ↓ (3.47)	2.21 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honduras Progreso
32.5%

Draw
26.6%

Motagua
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

26%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

24.8%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honduras Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honduras Progreso than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Honduras Progreso - Motagua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Honduras Progreso won 1.

Recent matches Honduras Progreso is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Motagua is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 39 head-to-head matches Honduras Progreso won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 28 matches and goals 35-88.

Including matches at home between the teams Honduras Progreso won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 20-34.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Honduras Progreso
Honduras Liga Nacional
23.04.23	Victoria La Ceiba - Honduras Progreso	2:2 ✺
15.04.23	Honduras Progreso - CD Marathón	2:1 ✺
06.04.23	Honduras Progreso - Olancho	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Real España - Honduras Progreso	3:0 ✺
18.03.23	Honduras Progreso - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWTLT
- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
23.04.23	Motagua - CD Marathón	2:2 ✺
16.04.23	Motagua - Real Sociedad Tocoa	2:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
13.04.23	Tigres UANL - Motagua	5:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
08.04.23	Vida - Motagua	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
05.04.23	Motagua - Tigres UANL	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 TTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
25.02.23	Motagua - Honduras Progreso	1:1
18.09.22	Honduras Progreso - Motagua	0:1
31.07.22	Motagua - Honduras Progreso	4:0
20.04.22	Motagua - Honduras Progreso	3:2
19.01.22	Honduras Progreso - Motagua	2:1
09.11.21	Motagua - Honduras Progreso	3:2
04.09.21	Honduras Progreso - Motagua	0:3

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