Match Info

HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 18

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Vida		Motagua

	1	X	2
	6	4.1	1.42
	6.5	4.2	1.42	Watch
	5.66	4.13	1.48
	5.66	4.13	1.49
	7	4.5	1.33
	6.87	4.52	1.4
	6.2	4.1	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.27 ↓ (7.37)	4.24 ↑ (4.06)	1.43 (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vida
14.5%

Draw
21.5%

Motagua
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

22.8%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

22.2%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vida than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Vida - Motagua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Bengoche A. (G) 18. Palacios D. 35. Suazo D. 5. Zuniga A. 19. Portillo J. 32. Bernardez M. 6. Sander R. 27. Chimilio L. 13. Manaiza C. 10. Canales M. 62. Ruiz J.	19. Rougier J. (C) 14. Argueta C. 27. Melendez C. 12. Santos M. 4. Vega L. 17. Decas W. 33. Castellanos H. 8. Martinez Betanco W. J. 7. Serrano J. 11. Auzmendi A. 9. Castillo R.
Substitutes
20. Centeno J. 58. Emerson M. 14. Espinoza S. 16. Funez E. 7. Garcia M. 31. Martinez J. 25. Palacios J. 1. Quinteros M. (G) 9. Tellas G. 28. Valdez Oseguera J. M. (G) 11. Villafranca J.	2. Alvarez K. 29. Auzmendi R. 23. Delgado J. 21. Gomez R. 15. Maldonado E. 16. Mejia C. 10. Mejia Y. 26. Melendez D. 32. Nunez J. 5. Pereira M. 31. Turcios-Castillo J. (G) 6. Zapata R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Auzmendi A. ⚽,
27', Palacios D. 🟨,
35', Serrano J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, Canales M. ⚽,
66', Decas W. ↓, Zapata R. ↑,
67', Martinez Betanco W. J. ↓, Mejia Y. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Castillo R. ⚽,
88', Portillo J. 🟨,
90+2', Auzmendi A. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', Auzmendi A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vida won 0.

Vida has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Motagua is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Motagua could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Motagua is absolute favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Vida won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 18-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Vida won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDS Vida
Honduras Liga Nacional
24.04.24	Olancho - Vida	1:1 ✺
20.04.24	Real Sociedad Tocoa - Vida	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Vida - Génesis PN	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Victoria La Ceiba - Vida	2:1 ✺
04.04.24	Vida - CD Marathón	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLLLL
- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
25.04.24	Motagua - Real Sociedad Tocoa	3:0 ✺
21.04.24	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	2:2 ✺
14.04.24	Motagua - Lobos UPNFM	4:0 ✺
10.04.24	Motagua - Real España	1:1 ✺
07.04.24	CD Marathón - Motagua	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
03.03.24	Motagua - Vida	1:0
18.10.23	Motagua - Vida	3:0
20.08.23	Vida - Motagua	3:3
08.04.23	Vida - Motagua	0:0
11.02.23	Motagua - Vida	2:1
08.10.22	Vida - Motagua	0:3
10.08.22	Motagua - Vida	2:2

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