Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 5 April 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Nacional Jose de la Paz Herrera Ucles (Tegucigalpa)

Referee: Villarreal A. (Usa)


	Motagua		Tigres UANL

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.85	Watch
	4.33	3.5	1.8
	4.25	3.5	1.7
	4.35	3.56	1.76
	4.33	3.3	1.73
	4.45	3.7	1.78	Watch
	4.1	3.5	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (3.03)	3.51 ↑ (3.3)	1.78 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Motagua
21.4%

Draw
26.4%

Tigres UANL
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

28%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

27.1%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Motagua's form might have worsened.

Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tigres UANL's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Motagua, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tigres UANL, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Motagua - Tigres UANL Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Motagua is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tigres is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Tigres could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Tigres is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional
01.04.23	Motagua - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:3 ✺
19.03.23	Olancho - Motagua	1:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
16.03.23	Pachuca - Motagua	1:1 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
12.03.23	Motagua - Victoria La Ceiba	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
09.03.23	Motagua - Pachuca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLTWT
- Tigres UANL
Mexican Liga MX
02.04.23	Toluca - Tigres UANL	3:2 ✺
18.03.23	Tigres UANL - Monterrey	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
15.03.23	Orlando City - Tigres UANL	1:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
11.03.23	Tigres UANL - Club América	0:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
07.03.23	Tigres UANL - Orlando City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTLT

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