Match Info

FINLAND: VEIKKAUSLIIGA

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Arto Tolsa Areena (Kotka)


	KTP Kotka		Honka

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.85	Watch
	3.75	3.65	1.9
	4.17	3.7	1.93
	3.6	3.3	1.85
	4.1	3.7	1.87	Watch
	3.8	3.65	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↓ (3.95)	3.6 ↑ (3.52)	1.89 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KTP Kotka
24.4%

Draw
26%

Honka
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

26.5%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

26.2%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KTP Kotka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Honka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KTP Kotka than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honka than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

KTP Kotka - Honka Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. KTP will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Honka will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Honka: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Niemela M. (G) 3. Nurmos L. 5. Ogungbaro M. 34. Talo N. 19. Ylitolva M. 21. Sandberg G. 23. Lindfors M. 11. Pozo-Venta Angell W. 10. Furtado W. 29. Mika 7. Makela J.	1. Rudakov M. (G) 26. Naamo D. 23. Hernandez A. 20. Rale M. 4. Baak F. 24. Banahene N. 15. Arko-Mensah E. 13. Eremenko R. 19. Lopez M. 17. Laine L. 9. Wurtz J.
Substitutes
30. Harbas A. 16. Huttunen A. 14. Lehtiranta J. 1. Leislahti R. (G) 32. Ramadingaye D. 20. Roiha S. 6. Vesiaho V.	47. Aijala E. 7. Bauque C. 88. Koskinen O. 21. Koski V. 16. Muzinga J. 32. Ortiz L. 12. Paunio R. (G)
Coaches
Malinen J.	Vasara V.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches KTP won 2.

KTP is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Honka is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

KTP could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Honka is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches KTP won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams KTP won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KTP Kotka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
25.08.23	VPS Vaasa - KTP Kotka	2:1 ✺
21.08.23	KTP Kotka - Haka	1:2 ✺
15.08.23	SJK - KTP Kotka	2:3 ✺
07.08.23	KTP Kotka - Inter Turku	1:4 ✺
30.07.23	KuPS Kuopio - KTP Kotka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWLL
- FC Honka
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.08.23	Honka - Ilves	2:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
23.08.23	Honka - IFK Mariehamn	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.08.23	IFK Mariehamn - Honka	0:1 ✺
13.08.23	Honka - Inter Turku	1:0 ✺
07.08.23	Lahti - Honka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
26.05.23	Honka - KTP Kotka	0:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
04.02.23	Honka - KTP Kotka	1:1
Finnish Veikkausliiga
16.10.21	KTP Kotka - Honka	2:0
11.09.21	Honka - KTP Kotka	3:1
07.05.21	KTP Kotka - Honka	1:3
Finnish Cup
27.01.18	Honka - KTP Kotka	1:0
04.03.17	KTP Kotka - Honka	0:2

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