Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 32

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday


	Hornchurch		Boreham Wood

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.4	1.73
	4.34	3.5	1.77
	4.56	3.59	1.76	Watch
	4.4	3.4	1.75
	4.46	3.58	1.73
	4.1	3.4	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (3.87)	3.48 ↓ (3.51)	1.75 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
21.2%

Draw
26.3%

Boreham Wood
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

26%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

25.2%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Hornchurch - Boreham Wood Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Wraight T. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Balanta A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 2 - 1, Dixon J. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Hornchurch is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boreham Wood is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hornchurch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Boreham Wood is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hornchurch won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 0.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Hornchurch won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
08.02.25	Bath City - Hornchurch	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Hornchurch - Tonbridge Angels	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Hornchurch - Salisbury	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Hornchurch - Dorking Wanderers	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Chelmsford City - Hornchurch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTTLL
- Boreham Wood
English National League South
08.02.25	Boreham Wood - Weston-super-Mare	0:1 ✺
03.02.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Boreham Wood	3:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
01.02.25	Aldershot Town - Boreham Wood	2:0 ✺
English National League South
28.01.25	Worthing - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Boreham Wood - Chippenham Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.10.24	Boreham Wood - Hornchurch	1:1
English FA Cup
24.10.15	Boreham Wood - Hornchurch	2:1
English National League South
29.03.13	Boreham Wood - Hornchurch	2:1
21.08.12	Hornchurch - Boreham Wood	N/A

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