Match Info

National League South - Round 46

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Hornchurch		Maidenhead United

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.3	2.52
	2.68	3.3	2.45
	2.66	3.47	2.47	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.63
	2.66	3.45	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.57)	3.32 ↓ (3.36)	2.51 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
35.5%

Draw
27.8%

Maidenhead United
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

27.2%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

26.7%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Hornchurch have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Maidenhead United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidenhead United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Hornchurch - Maidenhead United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Hornchurch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hornchurch won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Hornchurch won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Maidenhead: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Maidenhead	10	3	4	3	12:11	1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Hornchurch - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.54%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Maidenhead United - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.28%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
English National League South
18.04.26	Chippenham Town - Hornchurch	1:3 ✺
14.04.26	Hornchurch - Chelmsford City	3:3 ✺
11.04.26	Hornchurch - Ebbsfleet United	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Maidstone United - Hornchurch	5:4 ✺
03.04.26	Hornchurch - Dagenham & Redbridge	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWLW
- Maidenhead United
English National League South
18.04.26	Maidenhead United - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chelmsford City - Maidenhead United	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Maidenhead United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Slough Town - Maidenhead United	2:2 ✺
31.03.26	Maidenhead United - Bath City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
06.12.25	Maidenhead United - Hornchurch	2:0
16.02.13	Hornchurch - Maidenhead United	0:2
02.10.12	Maidenhead United - Hornchurch	2:4

Upcoming Matches