Match Info

MLS

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	RDS App, TSN 2
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Houston Dynamo		CF Montréal

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.66	3.8	4.75
	1.65	4.15	4.9	Watch
	1.8	3.79	4.68
	1.68	3.9	4.73	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.8
	1.78	3.78	4.85	Watch
	1.65	4.15	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.59)	3.88 ↓ (4.12)	4.8 ↓ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Dynamo
55.7%

Draw
24.5%

CF Montréal
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

22.9%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

22.6%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

CF Montréal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Montreal will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Houston: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Montreal (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Montreal (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Bond J. (G) 25. Dorsey G. 24. Awodesu F. 22. Ortiz P. 36. Felipe Andrade 30. Junior Urso 6. Artur 27. Kowalczyk S. 9. Lingr O. 10. Ponce E. 8. Bassi A.	40. Sirois J. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 24. Campbell G. 2. Neal J. 13. Petrasso L. 22. Loturi V. 6. Piette S. 39. Guboglo Y. 23. Clark C. 3. Pearce T. 9. Owusu P.
Substitutes
4. Bartlow E. 11. Ennali L. 2. Escobar F. 14. Holmes D. 20. Lodeiro N. 1. Maurer J. (G) 12. Olusanya T. 35. Raines B. 17. Segal G.	4. Alvarez F. 1. Breza S. (G) 5. Craig B. 33. Gazdov E. (G) 35. Graham-Roache O. 14. Ibrahim S. 7. Opoku K. 28. Vilsaint J.
Coaches
Olsen B.	Donadel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Owusu P. ⚽, Clark C. (A), Pearce T. (A2)
32', 0 - 2, Owusu P. ⚽, Guboglo Y. (A), Loturi V. (A2)
40', Lingr O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Awodesu F. ↓, Escobar F. ↑,
48', Ortiz P. 🟨,
54', 0 - 3, Neal J. ⚽, Pearce T. (A),
60', Bassi A. ↓, Ennali L. ↑,
60', Kowalczyk S. ↓, Lodeiro N. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Lingr O. ⚽, Lodeiro N. (A),
68', Campbell G. 🟨,
69', Pearce T. ↓, Craig B. ↑,
74', Bugaj D. 🟨,
78', Junior Urso ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
78', Ponce E. ↓, Segal G. ↑,
90+2', Piette S. ↓, Opoku K. ↑,
90+2', Guboglo Y. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
90+8', Holmes D. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 1.

Recent performances by Houston have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Montreal has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Houston has had a series of away games.

In this match, Houston is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Houston: McGlynn J. (International duty) Quinones N. (Knee Injury) Tarbell A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Montreal: Escobar O. (International duty) Saliba N. (International duty) Sealy D. (International duty) Synchuk G. (Lower-Body Injury) Vrioni G. (Red Card) Waterman J. (International duty)

There are questionable in Montreal: Duke B. (Lower-Body Injury) Herbers F. (Thigh Injury) Loturi V. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Houston won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Dynamo
MLS
31.05.25	Houston Dynamo - Sporting Kansas City	1:3 ✺
28.05.25	New York City - Houston Dynamo	0:3 ✺
24.05.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Houston Dynamo	3:3 ✺
US Open Cup
21.05.25	Austin FC - Houston Dynamo	3:1 ✺
MLS
17.05.25	FC Dallas - Houston Dynamo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWTLW
- CF Montréal
MLS
31.05.25	CF Montréal - New England Revolution	0:3 ✺
28.05.25	Inter Miami - CF Montréal	4:2 ✺
24.05.25	CF Montréal - Los Angeles	2:2 ✺
Canadian Championship
20.05.25	Forge - CF Montréal	1:0 ✺
MLS
17.05.25	CF Montréal - Toronto FC	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
04.10.23	CF Montréal - Houston Dynamo	1:1
13.08.22	Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal	2:3
03.11.21	CF Montréal - Houston Dynamo	2:0
09.03.19	Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal	2:1
02.06.18	CF Montréal - Houston Dynamo	1:0
05.07.17	Houston Dynamo - CF Montréal	3:1
06.08.16	CF Montréal - Houston Dynamo	1:0

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