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Current Win Probability
New York City 50.8%
Draw 25.7%
Houston Dynamo 23.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
26.8%
24.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
27%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.3%
7.7%
0%
New York City - Houston Dynamo Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH -1 - NY City (2.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
New York City will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New York City will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. NY City (votes: 8 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 80. Haak J. 13. Thiago Martins (C) 5. Risa B. 21. O'Neill A. 32. Shore J. 10. Moralez M. 11. Fernandez J. 16. Martinez A. 17. Wolf H.
31. Bond J. (G) 2. Escobar F. (C) 24. Awodesu F. 4. Bartlow E. 36. Felipe Andrade 35. Raines B. 30. Junior Urso 16. Duenas E. 21. McGlynn J. 17. Segal G. 20. Lodeiro N.
Substitutes
9. Bakrar M. 29. Carrizo M. 2. Cavallo N. 99. Garfield Reid S. 35. Ilenic M. 26. Ojeda A. 55. Parks K. 30. Romero T. (G) 19. Tanasijevic S.
6. Artur 25. Dorsey G. 23. Halliday M. 14. Holmes D. 27. Kowalczyk S. 9. Lingr O. 1. Maurer J. (G) 12. Olusanya T. 22. Ortiz P.
Coaches
Jansen P.
Olsen B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Haak J. (Own goal),
35', Duenas E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Junior Urso ↓, Artur ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Segal G. ⚽,
63', Felipe Andrade 🟨,
65', Moralez M. ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
65', Haak J. ↓, Cavallo N. ↑,
65', Martinez A. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
65', Wolf H. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
65', Gray T. 🟨,
71', Duenas E. ↓, Lingr O. ↑,
72', Felipe Andrade ↓, Dorsey G. ↑,
74', Shore J. ↓, Parks K. ↑,
82', McGlynn J. ↓, Holmes D. ↑,
85', O'Neill A. 🟨,
89', Lodeiro N. ↓, Ortiz P. ↑,
90+2', Cavallo N. 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 3, Segal G. (Pen),
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, NY City is a strong favorite.
There will not play in NY City: Jones M.
(Broken Leg)
There will not play in Houston: Ennali L.
(Knee Injury)
Ponce E.
(Yellow Cards)
Quinones N.
(Knee Injury)
Tarbell A.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in NY City: O'Toole K.
(Leg Injury)
Perea A.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Houston: Holmes D.
(Ankle Injury)
Junior Urso
(Lower-Body Injury)
Steres D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sviatchenko E.
(Lower-Body Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, NY City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
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Freese M. (G) 
Gray T. 
Thiago Martins (C) 
Risa B. 
O'Neill A. 
Moralez M. 
Martinez A. 
Wolf H. 
Bond J. (G) 
Duenas E. 
Lodeiro N. 
Bakrar M. 
Ilenic M. 
Romero T. (G) 
Tanasijevic S. 
Kowalczyk S. 
Lingr O. 
Ortiz P. 
Jansen P. 
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