Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday

Location: PNC Stadium (Houston)

Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)


	Houston Dynamo		Nashville SC

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.45	Watch
	2.85	2.95	2.6
	2.8	3.05	2.63
	2.85	3	2.55
	2.95	3.18	2.68
	2.8	3	2.62	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.45)	3.07 ↑ (3)	2.59 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Dynamo
33%

Draw
30.7%

Nashville SC
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

32%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nashville SC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Houston Dynamo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nashville SC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	31.8%	40.9%

Houston Dynamo - Nashville SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Nashville will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nashville: 20.4% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Houston has the most likely position - 14 (22.62%), has project points - 36, has currently - 12, has a small chance of playoffs (12%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (<1%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Nashville has the most likely position - 3 (14.93%), has project points - 53, has currently - 15, has a good chance of playoffs (78%), has a small chance of first-round bye (8%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (4%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

This event has quality 34, small importance 15, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Houston won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Houston won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Dynamo
US Open Cup
11.05.22	Houston Dynamo - San Antonio	1:0 ✺
MLS
07.05.22	DC United - Houston Dynamo	2:0 ✺
30.04.22	Houston Dynamo - Austin FC	1:2 ✺
23.04.22	FC Dallas - Houston Dynamo	2:1 ✺
US Open Cup
19.04.22	Houston Dynamo - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLW
- Nashville SC
US Open Cup
11.05.22	Nashville SC - Atlanta United	3:2 ET ✺
MLS
08.05.22	Nashville SC - Real Salt Lake	2:0 ✺
01.05.22	Nashville SC - Philadelphia Union	1:1 ✺
23.04.22	Los Angeles Galaxy - Nashville SC	1:0 ✺
16.04.22	San Jose Earthquakes - Nashville SC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
14.10.20	Houston Dynamo - Nashville SC	1:3
26.09.20	Nashville SC - Houston Dynamo	1:1

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