Match Info

US Open Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, TX)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Houston Dynamo		Louisville City

	1	X	2
	1.56	3.8	5	Watch
	1.47	4.1	5	Watch
	1.6	3.9	5.15
	1.66	3.96	5.03
	1.61	3.93	5.27	Watch
	1.57	3.6	4.8
	1.61	3.84	5.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.54)	3.88 ↑ (3.72)	5.06 ↓ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Dynamo
58.1%

Draw
23.7%

Louisville City
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

24.3%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

23.1%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dynamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Louisville City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Houston Dynamo - Louisville City Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Louisville City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maurer J. (G) 30. Bouzat A. 28. Sviatchenko E. 3. Antonio Carlos (C) 21. Negri F. 14. Holmes D. 18. Samassekou D. 8. McGlynn J. 24. Aliyu I. 9. Lingr O. 19. Bogusz M.	12. Faundez D. (G) 16. Moguel C. 5. Dayes B. 32. Adams K. (C) 15. Perez E. 6. Duncan Z. 8. Davila T. 13. Dia A. 27. Davila E. 14. Showunmi T. 25. Wilson J.
Substitutes
6. Artur 31. Bond J. (G) 11. Ennali L. 36. Felipe Andrade 16. Herrera H. 10. Ponce E. 34. Resch A.	47. Akale M. 9. Donovan C. 28. Duke C. 23. Gleadle S. 24. Jones J. 7. Serrano R. 30. Troutman R. (G)
Coaches
Olsen B.	Bird S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', McGlynn J. (Penalty Awarded),
40', Dayes B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', McGlynn J. ↓, Ennali L. ↑,
58', Moguel C. ↓, Gleadle S. ↑,
59', Bogusz M. ↓, Ponce E. ↑,
59', Samassekou D. ↓, Artur ↑,
66', Wilson J. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
66', Showunmi T. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Serrano R. ⚽, Donovan C. (A),
69', Bouzat A. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
75', Davila E. ↓, Akale M. ↑,
75', Perez E. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
78', Lingr O. 🟨,
81', Negri F. ↓, Felipe Andrade ↑,
86', Duncan Z. ↓, Duke C. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Sviatchenko E. ⚽, Herrera H. (A),
90', Sviatchenko E. ↓, Resch A. ↑,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
101', 2 - 1, Ponce E. ⚽, Herrera H. (A),
112', Ponce E. 🟨,
117', Duke C. 🟨,
120+1', Serrano R. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Houston have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Louisville City is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Louisville City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Louisville City has had a series of home games.

In this match, Houston is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Dynamo
MLS
25.04.26	Austin FC - Houston Dynamo	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Houston Dynamo - San Diego	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Orlando City - Houston Dynamo	0:1 ✺
US Open Cup
15.04.26	Houston Dynamo - El Paso Locomotive	4:1 ✺
MLS
11.04.26	Colorado Rapids - Houston Dynamo	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWL
- Louisville City FC
USL Cup
25.04.26	Louisville City - Fort Wayne	3:1 ✺
USL Championship
18.04.26	Louisville City - Sporting Jacksonville	1:0 ✺
US Open Cup
14.04.26	Louisville City - Austin FC	2:1 ✺
USL Championship
10.04.26	Loudoun United - Louisville City	3:3 ✺
04.04.26	Louisville City - Charleston Battery	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWTL

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