The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Minnesota United 2 37.6%
Draw 25.4%
San Jose Earthquakes 2 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
25.2%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
26%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Minnesota United 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
San Jose Earthquakes 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Jose Earthquakes 2 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Minnesota United 2 - San Jose Earthquakes 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Bite K. (G) 35. Tarnue P. 97. Clarkson J. 31. Dang N. (C) 59. Farris J. 95. Vigilante S. 90. Pechota L. 50. Harwood M. 36. Friedman J. 39. Hille L. 17. Randell D.
22. Crockford N. (G) 73. Heisner J. 66. Cano A. 71. Dossmann N. 88. Baptista D. 35. Rajagopal R. 38. Mendoza E. 29. Spivey K. 90. Bohane Z. 70. Allen T. 52. Donnery J.
Substitutes
61. Bernard J. 75. Cruz H. 51. Grulke C. 56. McCann J. (G) 44. Porter G. 32. Putt T. 66. Schauf B.
97. Boyce W. 58. Bracken Serra G. 99. de Flores S. 74. Kwende M. 91. Lambe C. (G) 77. Spivey J. 50. Torres J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Clarkson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Harwood M. ↓, Cruz H. ↑,
46', Baptista D. ↓, Kwende M. ↑,
48', Hille L. (Penalty Awarded),
49', 1 - 0, Vigilante S. ⚽,
62', Donnery J. ↓, de Flores S. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Bohane Z. ⚽,
66', Spivey K. ↓, Bracken Serra G. ↑,
75', Pechota L. ↓, Porter G. ↑,
78', Friedman J. ↓, Putt T. ↑,
82', Kwende M. 🟨,
85', Rajagopal R. ↓, Boyce W. ↑,
85', Bohane Z. ↓, Spivey J. ↑,
88', Allen T. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
90+2', Cruz H. 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Mendoza E. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Hille L. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Bracken Serra G. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Putt T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Spivey J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Porter G. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Cano A. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Dang N. (Penalty Awarded),
5, de Flores S. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Minnesota 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
San Jose 2's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Minnesota 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, San Jose 2 has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home match between the teams, Minnesota 2 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Minnesota United 2 - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 37.56%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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Bite K. (G) 
Tarnue P. 
Clarkson J. 
Cano A. 
Donnery J. 
Putt T. 
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