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Current Win Probability
Huachipato 28.4%
Draw 27.2%
Universidad Católica 44.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
28.6%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
28.5%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huachipato's form might have worsened.
Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universidad Católica's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huachipato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universidad Católica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10.5%
10.5%
78.9%
Huachipato - Universidad Católica Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Huachipato will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 60.6% – 97.2%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Bravo C. (G) 2. Guaiquil G. 5. Caroca R. 14. Vargas N. 27. Velasquez L. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 10. Canete E. 8. Silva S. 7. Briceno M. 9. Altamirano L. 33. Abarzua A.
1. Bernedo V. (G) 28. Cerezo B. 2. Gonzalez D. 19. Ampuero B. (C) 39. L’Huillier N. 5. Farias A. 11. Montes C. 10. Palavecino M. 14. Martinez J. A. 7. Giani J. 18. Rossel J.
Substitutes
30. Altez K. 16. Arriagada L. 49. Cruzat I. (G) 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 13. Malanca R. 23. Martinez C. 36. Osorio M. 15. Rodriguez M. 29. Torres Gaete C. G.
13. Canales A. 46. Carcamo V. 25. Corral D. 15. Cuevas C. 26. Diaz J. 22. Gomez M. 27. Melo D. (G) 3. Mena E. 8. Zuqui F.
Coaches
Garcia J.
Garnero D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Abarzua A. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
51', 0 - 1, Montes C. ⚽, Palavecino M. (A),
56', Canete E. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
56', Guaiquil G. ↓, Malanca R. ↑,
63', Rossel J. ↓, Zuqui F. ↑,
64', Montes C. ↓, Cuevas C. ↑,
64', Velasquez L. ↓, Leon Munoz M. A. ↑,
65', Ampuero B. 🟨,
71', Sepulveda C. ↓, Altez K. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Giani J. ⚽, Gonzalez D. (A),
86', Palavecino M. ↓, Canales A. ↑,
86', Martinez J. A. ↓, Corral D. ↑,
87', Silva S. 🟨,
90+1', L’Huillier N. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
90+5', Cerezo B. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 3, Corral D. ⚽, Gomez M. (A),
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 0.
Huachipato has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Uni Católica is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Huachipato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Huachipato has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Huachipato won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Huachipato won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.5:1.2).
Outrights of Chilean Primera Division for now
U. Catolica: 9.15%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
U. Catolica
23
13
3
7
50:33
17
42
6
Huachipato
24
10
4
10
34:39
-5
34
Last Results with these Odds
Huachipato - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.14%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Universidad Católica - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 36.29%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Bravo C. (G) 
Canete E. 
Silva S. 
Martinez C. 
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