The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Universidad de Concepción 36%
Draw 27.6%
Palestino 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
29.2%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
28.6%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad de Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
75%
25%
Universidad de Concepción - Palestino Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Palestino will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Palestino (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Palestino (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Palestino (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Silva S. (G) 21. Espejo J. 5. Retamal D. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 3. Gonzalez L. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 10. Fuentealba J. 8. Mater F. 19. Mesias C. 7. Urzi A. 14. Parra P.
25. Perez Kirby S. A. (C) 29. Garguez Gomez I. A. 2. Espinoza Hevia V. A. 6. Meza F. 28. Zuniga D. 5. Fernandez J. 21. Araya M. 15. Montes Romero F. T. 18. Gallegos S. 27. Munder C. 19. Da Silva N.
Substitutes
11. Diaz A. 28. Kmet L. 16. Ogaz B. 35. Ramirez M. 23. Romero P. 32. Saez B. 25. Salgado H. 13. Sanhueza J. (G) 22. Uribe A.
11. Benitez J. 16. Bizama J. 7. Carrasco B. 9. Fernandez R. 23. Leon J. 8. Meza N. 1. Salas S. (G) 24. Salgado D. 20. Tapia Paez G.
Coaches
Duarte C.
Munoz C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Fernandez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Parra P. 🟨,
59', Araya M. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
60', Meza F. 🟨,
67', Garguez Gomez I. A. 🟨,
69', Parra P. ↓, Ogaz B. ↑,
70', Fuentealba J. 🟨,
73', Benitez J. 🟨,
76', Espejo J. 🟨,
79', Munder C. ↓, Carrasco B. ↑,
80', Fernandez J. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
85', Urzi A. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
86', Espejo J. ↓, Salgado H. ↑,
90+1', Fuentealba J. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Diaz A. ⚽, Mater F. (A),
90+5', Montes Romero F. T. 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 2.
Uni de Concepción has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Palestino is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Uni de Concepción won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:24. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Uni de Concepción won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.3:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Palestino
23
11
3
9
36:33
3
36
15
U. De Concepcion
24
6
5
13
18:40
-22
23
Last Results with these Odds
Universidad de Concepción - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.38%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.