Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio El Alcoraz (Huesca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN France
Saudi-arabia	Shahid
Spain	M+ LaLiga 4, M+ LaLiga 5
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Huesca		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.05	2.3	Watch
	3.05	3.15	2.28
	3.2	3.22	2.46
	3.09	3.15	2.37	Watch
	3.1	3	2.3
	3.26	3.24	2.41	Watch
	3.1	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.59)	3.14 ↓ (3.32)	2.35 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Huesca
29.9%

Draw
29.9%

Osasuna
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

27.7%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

27.4%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huesca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huesca's form might have worsened.

Osasuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huesca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	10.5%	78.9%

Huesca - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Huesca will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Osasuna will win (votes: 15 - 78.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osasuna: 60.6% – 97.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Huesca (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Osasuna (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Huesca (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Huesca (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Osasuna (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Martin D. (G) 2. Toni Abad 14. Pulido J. 28. Arribas S. 3. Abajas R. 7. Rico M. 16. Alvarez J. 37. Chatiliez W. 33. Luna D. 9. Enrich S. 11. Beltran L.	13. Fernandez A. (G) 41. Arguibide I. 29. Osambela A. 5. Herrando J. 3. Cruz J. 18. Becker S. 8. Munoz I. 16. Gomez M. 11. Barja K. 37. Arroyo R. 9. Garcia R.
Substitutes
38. Albarracin G. 17. Alonso J. 4. Carrillo A. 13. Jimenez D. (G) 10. Kortajarena I. 21. Ojeda D. 22. Perez A. 1. Perez Juan (G) 5. Pina 20. Portillo F. 18. Rodriguez E.	23. Bretones A. 17. Budimir A. 24. Catena A. 14. Garcia R. 1. Herrera S. (G) 7. Moncayola J. 21. Munoz V. 10. Oroz A. 35. Santos U. 42. Serrano M. 6. Torro L.
Coaches
Bolo	Lisci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
35', 1 - 0, Luna D. ⚽,
39', Beltran L. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Garcia R. ⚽, Becker S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Alvarez J. ↓, Kortajarena I. ↑,
63', Pulido J. ↓, Pina ↑,
68', Arroyo R. ↓, Moncayola J. ↑,
69', Arguibide I. ↓, Munoz V. ↑,
69', Herrando J. ↓, Catena A. ↑,
69', Barja K. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
71', Beltran L. ↓, Ojeda D. ↑,
71', Chatiliez W. ↓, Portillo F. ↑,
81', Rico M. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
86', Osambela A. 🟨,
88', Pina 🟨,
90+1', Ojeda D. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 3)
95', 1 - 2, Garcia R. ⚽, Munoz V. (A),
96', Munoz I. ↓, Torro L. ↑,
100', Toni Abad ↓, Perez A. ↑,
105', Garcia R. ↓, Budimir A. ↑,
105+1', 2 - 2, Kortajarena I. ⚽, Perez A. (A),
111', 2 - 3, Osambela A. ⚽, Garcia R. (A),
118', 2 - 4, Budimir A. ⚽, Torro L. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Huesca won 1.

Huesca is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Osasuna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Osasuna is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Huesca won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Huesca won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.4:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Huesca - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 35.54%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Huesca
Spanish LaLiga2
12.12.25	Leonesa - Huesca	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Huesca - Valladolid	1:4 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Ferrol - Huesca	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
29.11.25	Almería - Huesca	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Huesca - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLWTW
- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
13.12.25	Barcelona - Osasuna	2:0 ✺
08.12.25	Osasuna - Levante	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Ebro - Osasuna	3:5 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.11.25	Mallorca - Osasuna	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Osasuna - Real Sociedad	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
26.07.25	Osasuna - Huesca	0:2
24.07.24	Osasuna - Huesca	0:0
18.07.23	Osasuna - Huesca	1:0
23.07.22	Osasuna - Huesca	4:3
21.07.21	Osasuna - Huesca	2:1
Spanish LaLiga
20.03.21	Huesca - Osasuna	0:0
20.11.20	Osasuna - Huesca	1:1

Upcoming Matches