Match Info

Date: 20 October 2020, Tuesday


	Hull City		AFC Wimbledon

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.75
	1.75	3.6	4.5
	1.75	3.75	4.75
	1.79	3.55	4.2
	1.83	3.74	4.66
	1.75	3.5	4.5
	1.82	3.72	4.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.64)	3.66 ↓ (3.77)	4.6 ↓ (5.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
53.4%

Draw
25.9%

AFC Wimbledon
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

25%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

14.8%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-19.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hull City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Wimbledon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
59.3%	3.7%	37%

Hull City - AFC Wimbledon Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 16 - 59.3%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 10 - 37%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 40.8% – 77.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Championship and 11).

Hull has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (36%), has a good chance of promoted (59%), has a chance of win league (29%).

Wimbledon has a chance of relegated (35%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Hull could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hull have a series of guest games.

In this match Hull is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League One
17.10.20	Rochdale - Hull City	0:3 ✺
09.10.20	Fleetwood Town - Hull City	4:1 ✺
03.10.20	Hull City - Plymouth Argyle	1:0 ✺
26.09.20	Northampton Town - Hull City	0:2 ✺
English League Cup
22.09.20	West Ham United - Hull City	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLWWL
- AFC Wimbledon
English League One
17.10.20	AFC Wimbledon - Shrewsbury Town	0:1 ✺
10.10.20	Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
06.10.20	Leyton Orient - AFC Wimbledon	2:0 ✺
English League One
03.10.20	AFC Wimbledon - Accrington Stanley	1:2 ✺
26.09.20	Fleetwood Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWLLW

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