Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 14 January 2023, Saturday

Location: LNER Community Stadium (York)


	York City		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.01	3.4	3.15
	2.02	3.57	3.3
	2.05	3.4	3
	2.05	3.56	3.32
	2.02	3.45	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.93)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	3.17 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
44.9%

Draw
26.4%

Chelmsford City
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

26.7%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

26.3%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Chelmsford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

York City - Chelmsford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

York is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Chelmsford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

York could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

York will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League
07.01.23	York City - Maidstone United	4:1 ✺
02.01.23	Gateshead - York City	2:2 ✺
26.12.22	York City - Gateshead	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
20.12.22	York City - Blyth Spartans	5:0 ✺
English National League
10.12.22	Woking - York City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WTLWW
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
07.01.23	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.01.23	Chelmsford City - Wealdstone	2:1 ✺
English National League South
01.01.23	Braintree Town - Chelmsford City	2:2 ✺
26.12.22	Chelmsford City - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
10.12.22	St Albans City - Chelmsford City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTWL

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