Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 11

Date: 10 December 2024, Tuesday


	Taunton Town		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.25
	2.48	3.65	2.35
	2.47	3.93	2.35
	2.54	3.94	2.39	Watch
	2.49	3.64	2.31
	2.48	3.65	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.46)	3.74 ↑ (3.73)	2.33 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
36.5%

Draw
24.4%

Merthyr Town
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

24.3%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

24%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Merthyr Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Taunton Town - Merthyr Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Frazer T. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Evans J. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Moulden A. ⚽,
35', 2 - 2, Smith T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 2 - 3, Simpson R. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Taunton won 3.

Recent matches Taunton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Merthyr in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Taunton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Merthyr have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Taunton won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:16 (average 1.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Taunton won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.5:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Taunton Town - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 36.83%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English Southern League South Division
30.11.24	Taunton Town - Chertsey Town	2:3 ✺
23.11.24	Dorchester Town - Taunton Town	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Wimborne Town - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
05.11.24	Walton & Hersham - Taunton Town	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Taunton Town - Bracknell Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLWT
- Merthyr Town
English Southern League South Division
30.11.24	Bracknell Town - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
26.11.24	Chertsey Town - Merthyr Town	1:2 ✺
16.11.24	Dorchester Town - Merthyr Town	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Merthyr Town - Havant & Waterlooville	5:1 ✺
02.11.24	Plymouth Parkway - Merthyr Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
19.09.23	Taunton Town - Merthyr Town	1:2
15.09.23	Merthyr Town - Taunton Town	1:1
English Southern League South Division
08.03.22	Taunton Town - Merthyr Town	2:1
05.02.22	Merthyr Town - Taunton Town	0:3
14.03.20	Taunton Town - Merthyr Town	Canceled
11.02.20	Merthyr Town - Taunton Town	4:2
22.04.19	Taunton Town - Merthyr Town	3:2

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