Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 4

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Huracán Paso de la Arena		La Luz

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.82	2.62
	2.77	2.75	2.73
	2.91	2.66	2.86	Watch
	2.75	2.63	2.7
	2.69	2.75	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.61)	2.72 ↓ (2.92)	2.71 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huracán Paso de la Arena
33.1%

Draw
33.4%

La Luz
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

30.8%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

30.2%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huracán Paso de la Arena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

La Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huracán Paso de la Arena than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Huracán Paso de la Arena - La Luz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Huracán won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	La Luz	21	7	6	8	19:24	-5	27
10	Huracan FC	21	7	5	9	22:28	-6	26

Last Results with these Odds

La Luz - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.65%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Huracán Paso de la Arena
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.05.26	Cerrito - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Atenas de San Carlos	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Paysandú - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Cerrito	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTTW
- La Luz FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
24.05.26	La Luz - Uruguay Montevideo	2:0 ✺
17.05.26	Oriental de La Paz - La Luz	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	La Luz - Colón Montevideo	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Cerrito - La Luz	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	La Luz - Uruguay Montevideo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.03.26	La Luz - Huracán Paso de la Arena	2:2

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