Match Info
Segunda Division - Round 2Date: 17 May 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
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Oriental de La Paz |
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La Luz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.37 |
2.75 |
3 |
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 |
2.42 |
2.78 |
3 |
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 |
2.44 |
2.8 |
3.11 |
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2.5 |
2.84 |
3.15 |
Watch |
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2.45 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
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2.42 |
2.76 |
3.06 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.85) |
2.77 ↑
(2.59) |
3.04 ↑
(2.95) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Oriental de La Paz
37.3% | Draw
32.8% | La Luz
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oriental de La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)La Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental de La Paz than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Luz than the current prediction. (+1.8%)Oriental de La Paz - La Luz Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. La Luz will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.La Luz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, La Luz has had a series of home games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).Including home matches between the teams, Oriental won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Standings
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Oriental | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:22 | 7 | 32 |
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| 9 | La Luz | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19:24 | -5 | 27 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Uruguayan Segunda Division | | | 18.10.25 | La Luz - Oriental de La Paz | 1:1 | | 26.07.25 | Oriental de La Paz - La Luz | 2:2 | | 05.04.25 | La Luz - Oriental de La Paz | 1:2 | | 21.09.24 | La Luz - Oriental de La Paz | 1:1 | | 05.06.24 | Oriental de La Paz - La Luz | 1:0 | | 07.04.24 | Oriental de La Paz - La Luz | 0:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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