Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Championship Group - Round 26

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Vare Areena (Kuopio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	OneFootball TV


	KuPS Kuopio		Oulu

	1	X	2
	1.50	3.90	5.50
	1.53	4.00	6.00
	1.46	4.00	6.10	Watch
	1.53	4.37	6.71
	1.49	4.29	6.6	Watch
	1.50	4.20	6.70
	1.55	4.03	5.68	Watch
	1.50	3.90	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.61)	4.09 ↑ (3.86)	6.11 ↑ (5.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KuPS Kuopio
61.9%

Draw
22.8%

Oulu
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24.3%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.3%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KuPS Kuopio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

KuPS Kuopio - Oulu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - KuPS (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - KuPS Kuopio (1.55) (votes: 92%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: KuPS Kuopio will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. KuPS (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kreidl J. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 28. Magassa B. 33. Hamalainen T. 25. Antwi C. 10. Gasc V. R. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 16. Jyry T. 24. Armah B. 20. Parzyszek P.	13. Santos M. (G) 16. Kemppainen O. 5. Pitkanen M. 66. Pirinen J. 22. Kaukua T. 36. Lotvonen J. 25. Arsalo M. 21. Mendolin I. 27. Kallio E. 7. Karjalainen R. (C) 10. Triana C.
Substitutes
4. Adams K. 15. Aiki A. 34. Eskesen J. 17. Heinonen A. 13. Kujasalo N. 14. Pasanen S. 29. Puukko A. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 22. Touray S.	18. Cassama A. 14. Jokelainen N. 3. Lietsa A. 30. Makelainen J. 6. Paananen J. 9. Riski Ro. 99. Schulz N. (G) 2. Sipola S. 24. Thomas C. S.
Coaches
Nuutinen M.	Isokangas M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Triana C. ⚽, Lotvonen J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mendolin I. ↓, Paananen J. ↑,
58', Armah B. 🟨,
60', Savolainen S. ↓, Pasanen S. ↑,
60', Jyry T. ↓, Aiki A. ↑,
65', Kaukua T. 🟨,
66', Parzyszek P. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Karjalainen R. ↓, Riski Ro. ↑,
71', Kallio E. ↓, Cassama A. ↑,
76', Gasc V. R. ↓, Eskesen J. ↑,
76', Antwi C. ↓, Kujasalo N. ↑,
82', Triana C. ↓, Makelainen J. ↑,
82', Lotvonen J. ↓, Jokelainen N. ↑,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KuPS won 2.

KuPS has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Oulu is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, KuPS is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for KuPS: Armah B. (Inactive) Heiskanen S. (Inactive) Voutilainen J. (Surgery).

Confirmed absences for Oulu: Ghezali L. (Inactive) Tiihonen O. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, KuPS has recorded 15 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:19 (averaging 2.1:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for KuPS against this opponent, the record stands at 11 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 26:7 goals (averaging 2.2:0.6 per game).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

KuPS: 39.56% AC Oulu: 0.56%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	KuPS	26	13	9	4	41:25	16	48
5	AC Oulu	26	11	4	11	27:29	-2	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
19.09.26	VPS Vaasa - KuPS Kuopio	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	KuPS Kuopio - HJK	0:0 ✺
08.09.26	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	1:1 ✺
31.08.26	Inter Turku - KuPS Kuopio	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - Shamrock Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTTLW
- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
18.09.26	Oulu - Inter Turku	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Oulu - Gnistan	1:2 ✺
08.09.26	VPS Vaasa - Oulu	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Oulu - SJK	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	FF Jaro - Oulu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
02.05.26	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	2:0
22.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	3:2
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
28.02.26	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	5:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga
04.07.25	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	2:2
12.04.25	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	1:0
Club Friendly
25.03.25	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	2:0
Finnish Veikkausliiga Liiga Cup
22.02.25	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	2:1

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