Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Cup - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday


	Ilkeston		Hereford

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.8
	3.5	3.5	1.8
	4	3.75	1.9
	3.88	3.6	1.81
	3.98	3.77	1.82	Watch
	3.6	3.6	1.8
	4.17	3.96	1.91	Watch
	4	3.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.75)	3.69 ↓ (3.8)	1.84 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
24.2%

Draw
25.2%

Hereford
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

24.8%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

25.5%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Ilkeston - Hereford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 1-1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hereford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hereford is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ilkeston won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Hereford - Ilkeston	1:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
10.09.24	Worksop Town - Ilkeston	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Ilkeston - Whitby Town	5:1 ✺
26.08.24	Basford United - Ilkeston	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Ilkeston - Bamber Bridge	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWLW
- Hereford FC
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Hereford - Ilkeston	1:1 ✺
English National League North
07.09.24	Spennymoor Town - Hereford	0:0 ✺
03.09.24	Hereford - Needham Market	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Brackley Town - Hereford	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Hereford - Radcliffe	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
14.09.24	Hereford - Ilkeston	1:1

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