Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Ursaria		Illescas

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.1
	2.1	3.2	3.4	Watch
	2.24	3.1	3.37
	2.23	2.97	3.37
	2.13	3.1	3.24
	2.17	3.05	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.07)	3.07 ↓ (3.2)	3.28 ↑ (3.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ursaria
42.3%

Draw
29.8%

Illescas
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

28.2%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

29.3%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Illescas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illescas than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Ursaria - Illescas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Ursaria is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Illescas is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ursaria will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.11.23	Atlético Paso - Ursaria	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Ursaria - Llerenense	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Montijo - Ursaria	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Ursaria - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Ursaria - Cayón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWWL
- CD Illescas
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.11.23	Illescas - UD San Fernando	6:0 ✺
19.11.23	CD Guadalajara - Illescas	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	Illescas - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
05.11.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Illescas	2:0 ✺
28.10.23	Illescas - Mensajero	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWWLW

Ursaria - Illescas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide