Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Relegation Group - Round 25

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Lahden Stadion (Lahti)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	OneFootball TV


	Lahti		FF Jaro

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.80	5.50	Watch
	1.62	4.00	5.00
	1.55	3.95	5.10	Watch
	1.66	4.12	5.45
	1.6	4.16	5.28	Watch
	1.62	4.05	5.35
	1.59	3.84	5.56	Watch
	1.58	3.85	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.53)	3.97 ↓ (4.03)	5.26 ↑ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lahti
58.6%

Draw
23.6%

FF Jaro
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

22.7%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

22%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lahti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

FF Jaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahti than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FF Jaro than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Lahti - FF Jaro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lahti (votes: 2 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Lahti (1.57) (votes: 96%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Lahti will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Maukonen O. (G) 27. Yapi R. 5. Gianini Dantas N. (C) 4. Muller J. 25. Inkinen T. 8. Montiel C. 18. Cassubie Y. 10. Koskinen O. 77. Sarr M. 9. Lindholm A. 11. Martim Augusto	1. Vits S. (G) 21. Myrevik J. 4. Ogungbaro M. 6. Brunell J. (C) 19. Ness F. O. 25. Kocsis G. 7. Skau J. 5. Bjonback A. 26. Pedersen M. 77. Sabriye A. 91. Vuorinen V.
Substitutes
17. Belabid A. 12. Hakala A. (G) 7. Heikkinen D. 28. Kabashi A. 20. Ojanen J. 41. Paalanen A. 21. Vainionpaa M. 6. Vehkonen V.	22. Harden K. 18. Holmang E. 2. Kass F. 8. Kass Kawo O. 23. Lawson J. 24. Lofs V. 12. Snellman J. (G) 20. Soderstrom T. 16. Vidjeskog A.
Coaches
Pereira G.	Karlsson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Martim Augusto ⚽, Koskinen O. (A),
35', Gianini Dantas N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sabriye A. ↓, Lawson J. ↑,
67', Yapi R. 🟨,
67', Kocsis G. 🟨,
71', Skau J. 🟨,
73', Koskinen O. ↓, Heikkinen D. ↑,
77', Vuorinen V. ↓, Lofs V. ↑,
79', Lindholm A. ↓, Belabid A. ↑,
80', Montiel C. ↓, Ojanen J. ↑,
80', Martim Augusto ↓, Kabashi A. ↑,
85', Kocsis G. ↓, Harden K. ↑,
86', Myrevik J. ↓, Kass Kawo O. ↑,
86', Gianini Dantas N. ↓, Vehkonen V. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Lofs V. ⚽,
90+1', Yapi R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lahti won 3.

Lahti has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Jaro has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this matchup, Lahti is considered the favorite to take the win.

Confirmed absences for Jaro: Gunnarsson E. (Inactive) Lawson J. (Inactive) Remesaho J. (Inactive) Weckstrom L. (Injury).

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Lahti has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:22 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lahti against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 11:7 goals (averaging 1.6:1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lahti
Finnish Veikkausliiga
12.09.26	Ilves - Lahti	3:1 ✺
08.09.26	Lahti - IFK Mariehamn	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	VPS Vaasa - Lahti	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	SJK - Lahti	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Lahti - KuPS Kuopio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWTL
- FF Jaro
Finnish Veikkausliiga
12.09.26	FF Jaro - SJK	1:1 ✺
08.09.26	Ilves - FF Jaro	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	IFK Mariehamn - FF Jaro	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	FF Jaro - Oulu	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	HJK - FF Jaro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Veikkausliiga
01.08.26	Lahti - FF Jaro	2:0
04.04.26	FF Jaro - Lahti	0:1
27.10.24	Lahti - FF Jaro	1:0
23.10.24	FF Jaro - Lahti	2:0
18.10.15	FF Jaro - Lahti	1:1
02.08.15	Lahti - FF Jaro	1:1
14.05.15	FF Jaro - Lahti	1:1

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