Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 10

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Tammelan Stadion (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	Ilves		TPS

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.50	4.20	Watch
	1.80	3.70	4.10
	1.82	3.60	3.85	Watch
	1.85	3.97	4.24
	1.83	4.01	3.88	Watch
	1.80	3.60	3.90
	1.79	3.84	4.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.11)	3.75 ↑ (3.33)	4.03 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ilves
51.8%

Draw
25%

TPS
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

27.7%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilves's performance.

TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Ilves - TPS Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ilves will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krkalic F. (G) 24. Kumpu V. 16. Miettunen T. 3. Rale M. 4. Pettersson O. 20. Tiitinen O. 6. Raap Y. 28. Kilo J. 8. Stjopin M. 9. Hytonen T. 30. Kanga J. (C)	1. Henriksson E. (G) 2. Haggstrom O. 14. Hradecky M. 17. Sihvonen A. (C) 77. Karkulowski T. 10. Konkkola M. 26. Ikonen L. 22. Zaal T. 29. Muzaci A. 9. Ivanovic L. 11. Vauhkonen E.
Substitutes
31. Leislahti R. (G) 14. Popovitch A. 23. Raymond A. 10. Riski Ro. 74. Syrjanen S. 7. Veteli J. 1. Virtanen O. (G)	41. Anini S. 15. Azongnitode C. 8. Coulibaly A. 6. Juvanteny P. 20. Kauppila M. 35. Lauri D. (G) 4. Sairinen A. 24. Talo N. 28. Vakiparta T.
Coaches
Lehtonen J.	Pinol I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Ivanovic L. 🟨,
21', Konkkola M. ↓, Anini S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Raap Y. 🟨,
58', Ikonen L. ↓, Juvanteny P. ↑,
58', Ivanovic L. ↓, Kauppila M. ↑,
60', Raap Y. ↓, Popovitch A. ↑,
65', Tiitinen O. ↓, Veteli J. ↑,
72', Anini S. 🟨,
76', Haggstrom O. 🟨,
77', Vauhkonen E. ↓, Vakiparta T. ↑,
77', Anini S. ↓, Talo N. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Kanga J. ⚽, Kilo J. (A),
82', Stjopin M. ↓, Syrjanen S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Veikkausliiga (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 5.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ilves has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ilves is the team to beat.

There will not play in Ilves: Ala-Myllymaki L. (Injury) Bamba G. (Red Card) Vaisanen S. (Injury) Wallius K. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Ilves: Suvanne S. (Injury)

There are questionable in TPS: Tsirigotis T. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:3. (average 2.6:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:1. (average 2.3:0.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ilves
Finnish Cup
10.06.26	Ilves - Lahti	5:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.05.26	Lahti - Ilves	5:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
27.05.26	Ilves - TPS	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.05.26	Ilves - Gnistan	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Ilves - Inter Turku	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWL
- TPS
Finnish Veikkausliiga
30.05.26	TPS - VPS Vaasa	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
27.05.26	Ilves - TPS	1:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
23.05.26	Inter Turku - TPS	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Oulu - TPS	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	TPS - HJS	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Cup
27.05.26	Ilves - TPS	1:0
26.04.23	TPS - Ilves	0:2
Club Friendly
25.03.23	Ilves - TPS	2:0
15.01.21	TPS - Ilves	1:7
Finnish Veikkausliiga
27.09.20	Ilves - TPS	4:0
07.07.20	TPS - Ilves	0:1
Club Friendly
09.03.19	Ilves - TPS	4:0

Upcoming Matches