Match Info

Veikkausliiga - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Raatin stadion (Oulu)

Referee: Antamo D. (Fin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+
World	Onefootball


	Oulu		TPS

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.7	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.95	Watch
	1.69	3.91	5.1
	1.68	3.84	4.97	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.8
	1.66	3.84	4.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.65)	3.77 ↓ (3.93)	4.91 ↓ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oulu
56%

Draw
24.9%

TPS
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

24.9%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oulu than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Oulu - TPS Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Oulu will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). TPS will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Santos M. (G) 2. Sipola S. 5. Pitkanen M. 66. Pirinen J. 22. Kaukua T. 21. Mendolin I. 7. Karjalainen R. (C) 6. Paananen J. 11. Ghezali L. 26. Korkko J. 27. Kallio E.	1. Henriksson E. (G) 2. Haggstrom O. 6. Juvanteny P. 14. Hradecky M. 77. Karkulowski T. 22. Zaal T. 26. Ikonen L. 10. Konkkola M. 29. Muzaci A. (C) 11. Vauhkonen E. 13. Tsirigotis T.
Substitutes
18. Cassama A. 20. Jatta K. 16. Kemppainen O. 32. Kone A. 3. Lietsa A. 30. Makelainen J. 8. Ojala M. 99. Schulz N. (G) 29. Silander S.	41. Anini S. 15. Azongnitode C. 8. Coulibaly A. 9. Ivanovic L. 20. Kauppila M. 35. Lauri D. (G) 4. Sairinen A. 24. Talo N. 28. Vakiparta T.
Coaches
Isokangas M.	Pinol I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Tsirigotis T. 🟨,
45+1', Haggstrom O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Juvanteny P. ↓, Azongnitode C. ↑,
46', Haggstrom O. ↓, Talo N. ↑,
56', Zaal T. ↓, Vakiparta T. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Karjalainen R. ⚽,
66', Paananen J. 🟨,
68', Konkkola M. ↓, Ivanovic L. ↑,
72', Ghezali L. ↓, Silander S. ↑,
72', Paananen J. ↓, Makelainen J. ↑,
78', Vakiparta T. 🟨,
80', Vauhkonen E. ↓, Kauppila M. ↑,
83', Korkko J. ↓, Kone A. ↑,
88', Kaukua T. 🟨,
90+1', Kaukua T. 🟨,
90+3', Kallio E. ↓, Lietsa A. ↑,
90+3', Sipola S. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Veikkausliiga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 0.

Oulu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

TPS is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

TPS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Oulu is the team to beat.

There will not play in TPS: Turkki E. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Oulu won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 3:15. (average 0.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Oulu won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.1:1).

Outrights of Finnish Veikkausliiga for now

AC Oulu: 0.56%

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Oulu	26	11	4	11	27:29	-2	37

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Oulu
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.05.26	Ilves - Oulu	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Oulu - KuPS Kuopio	2:0 ✺
25.04.26	Lahti - Oulu	2:1 ✺
22.04.26	KuPS Kuopio - Oulu	3:2 ✺
18.04.26	Oulu - VPS Vaasa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLW
- TPS
Finnish Cup
13.05.26	TPS - HJS	3:0 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
08.05.26	TPS - HJK	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	FF Jaro - TPS	2:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
28.04.26	Salon Palloilijat - TPS	1:2 penalties ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
24.04.26	TPS - Gnistan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
14.09.19	Oulu - TPS	0:0
13.07.19	TPS - Oulu	1:0
25.05.19	Oulu - TPS	0:1
01.09.17	TPS - Oulu	2:0
08.07.17	Oulu - TPS	0:0
13.05.17	TPS - Oulu	0:1
15.10.16	Oulu - TPS	0:1

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