Match Info

J2 League - Round 20

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Arigato Service Dream (Imabari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Imabari		Mito HollyHock

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.2	2.63	Watch
	2.6	2.95	2.45
				Watch
	2.82	3.2	2.71
				Watch
	2.6	3	2.62
	2.52	3.13	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.39)	3.1 ↓ (3.26)	2.62 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imabari
34.9%

Draw
29.8%

Mito HollyHock
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

28.8%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

29%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	27.3%	54.5%

Imabari - Mito HollyHock Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Imabari will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mito HollyHock: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Imabari (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Mito HollyHock (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Imabari (votes: 1 - 50%). Mito HollyHock (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Takagiwa T. (G) 16. Omori R. 5. Danilo Cardoso 2. Kato T. 14. Yuba K. 20. Vinicius Diniz 15. Abe R. 18. Arai H. 28. Patrick Verhon 11. Tanque W. 36. Yokoyama Y.	34. Nishikawa K. (G) 6. Iida T. 36. Itakura K. 97. Takahashi T. 2. Omori S. 8. Saito S. 3. Osaki K. 10. Maeda R. 39. Yamamoto H. 45. Teranuma S. 7. Watanabe A.
Substitutes
13. Fujioka K. 3. Fukumori N. 21. Hino T. 4. Ichihara R. 50. Mikado Y. 22. Saitai Y. 33. Sasa S. 47. Ueda S. (G) 37. Umeki R.	71. Fofana M. 99. Kato C. 22. Kubo S. 21. Matsubara S. (G) 15. Nagao Y. 41. Nose R. 44. Okuda K. 16. Tsukagawa K. 4. Ushizawa T.
Coaches
Kuraishi K.	Mori N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
35', Vinicius Diniz 🟨,
44', Maeda R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Abe R. ↓, Umeki R. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Saito S. ⚽, Watanabe A. (A),
51', Takahashi T. 🟨,
52', 1 - 1, Kato T. ⚽, Patrick Verhon (A),
56', Maeda R. ↓, Tsukagawa K. ↑,
56', Yamamoto H. ↓, Kato C. ↑,
58', Arai H. ↓, Hino T. ↑,
59', Saito S. ↓, Nose R. ↑,
70', Teranuma S. ↓, Kubo S. ↑,
70', Watanabe A. ↓, Okuda K. ↑,
74', Tanque W. ↓, Sasa S. ↑,
82', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Saitai Y. ↑,
82', Patrick Verhon ↓, Fujioka K. ↑,
86', 1 - 2, Kubo S. ⚽, Osaki K. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Imabari is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mito HollyHock is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Mito HollyHock has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Imabari won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Imabari
Japan J2 League
15.06.25	Consadole Sapporo - Imabari	2:2 ✺
07.06.25	Imabari - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Imabari - Tokushima Vortis	0:1 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
25.05.25	Imabari - Kagoshima United	0:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
17.05.25	Ventforet Kofu - Imabari	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTLLL
- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
14.06.25	Mito HollyHock - Sagan Tosu	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	Kataller Toyama - Mito HollyHock	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Mito HollyHock - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
24.05.25	Mito HollyHock - Sagamihara	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
17.05.25	Mito HollyHock - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
29.04.25	Mito HollyHock - Imabari	0:0

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