Match Info

J2 League - Round 19

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Mito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Mito HollyHock		Sagan Tosu

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	4.2	Watch
	1.93	3	3.7
	1.92	3.2	3.85	Watch
	1.97	3.38	4.41
	2.12	3.13	3.4	Watch
	2	3	3.8
	1.92	3.18	4.08	Watch
	1.92	3.2	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.2)	3.17 ↓ (3.3)	3.91 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
47.2%

Draw
29.1%

Sagan Tosu
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

27.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

26.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mito HollyHock's performance.

Sagan Tosu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sagan Tosu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sagan Tosu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mito HollyHock - Sagan Tosu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mito HollyHock (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +1 - Tosu (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Tosu (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mito HollyHock will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Mito HollyHock (votes: 2 - 40%). Tosu (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Nishikawa K. (G) 6. Iida T. 36. Itakura K. 97. Takahashi T. 2. Omori S. 39. Yamamoto H. 15. Nagao Y. 3. Osaki K. 8. Saito S. 45. Teranuma S. 7. Watanabe A.	12. Izumori R. (G) 13. Inoue T. 4. Imazu Y. 32. Ogawa S. 5. Nagasawa S. 33. Nishiya K. 27. Sakurai T. 7. Arai H. 11. Nishikawa J. 16. Nishizawa K. 34. Yamada H.
Substitutes
17. Ashibe K. 71. Fofana M. 99. Kato C. 22. Kubo S. 10. Maeda R. 21. Matsubara S. (G) 44. Okuda K. 16. Tsukagawa K. 4. Ushizawa T.	44. Horigome Y. 9. Jo 23. Kitajima F. 2. Matsumoto N. 37. Morishita R. 77. Slivka V. 19. Suzuki D. 35. Uchiyama K. (G) 91. Uehara M.
Coaches
Mori N.	Kogiku A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Nagao Y. ↓, Maeda R. ↑,
64', Saito S. ↓, Kato C. ↑,
64', Yamada H. ↓, Slivka V. ↑,
69', Teranuma S. ↓, Kubo S. ↑,
70', Watanabe A. ↓, Okuda K. ↑,
74', Nishikawa J. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
74', Nagasawa S. ↓, Uehara M. ↑,
82', Nishizawa K. ↓, Jo ↑,
82', Arai H. ↓, Kitajima F. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Kubo S. ⚽,
87', Yamamoto H. ↓, Tsukagawa K. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: ) and 7).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Mito HollyHock may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Mito HollyHock might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
08.06.25	Kataller Toyama - Mito HollyHock	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Mito HollyHock - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
24.05.25	Mito HollyHock - Sagamihara	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
17.05.25	Mito HollyHock - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Mito HollyHock - Blaublitz Akita	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLWW
- Sagan Tosu
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Sagan Tosu - Ehime	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
31.05.25	Sagan Tosu - Ehime	2:2 ✺
25.05.25	Sagan Tosu - Consadole Sapporo	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Blaublitz Akita - Sagan Tosu	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Sagan Tosu - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WTWWT

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