Match Info

J2 League - Round 17

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Toyama Stadium (Toyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kataller Toyama		Mito HollyHock

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.2	2	Watch
	3.4	3.2	1.93
	3.25	3.15	2.15	Watch
	3.56	3.3	2.17
	3.43	3.19	2.18	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2
	3.35	3.2	2.12	Watch
	3.25	3.15	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (2.8)	3.2 ↓ (3.3)	2.09 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
27%

Draw
28.8%

Mito HollyHock
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

27.4%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

27.1%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kataller Toyama's form might have worsened.

Mito HollyHock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	20%	70%

Kataller Toyama - Mito HollyHock Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kataller Toyama will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mito HollyHock: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC, 2nd Half - Kataller Toyama (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Kataller Toyama (3.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mito HollyHock will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Kataller Toyama (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Mito HollyHock (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tagawa T. (G) 88. Hama T. 41. Sakai S. 4. Kamiyama K. 2. Yoshida A. 8. Matsuoka D. 48. Ueda K. 16. Sueki H. 18. Ito T. 10. Matsuda R. 27. Yoshihira T.	34. Nishikawa K. (G) 6. Iida T. 36. Itakura K. 97. Takahashi T. 2. Omori S. 39. Yamamoto H. 15. Nagao Y. 3. Osaki K. 23. Tsukui T. 45. Teranuma S. 7. Watanabe A.
Substitutes
13. Fukazawa S. 28. Fuseya S. 42. Hirao T. (G) 5. Imase J. 7. Sasaki Y. 22. Shiina N. 33. Takahashi Y. 58. Take H. 14. Ura J.	17. Ashibe K. 22. Kubo S. 10. Maeda R. 21. Matsubara S. (G) 41. Nose R. 44. Okuda K. 8. Saito S. 4. Ushizawa T. 24. Yamazaki K.
Coaches
Ryo A.	Mori N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Teranuma S. ⚽, Itakura K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Matsuoka D. ↓, Shiina N. ↑,
47', Watanabe A. 🟨,
50', Yamamoto H. 🟨,
59', Watanabe A. ↓, Okuda K. ↑,
59', Teranuma S. ↓, Kubo S. ↑,
64', Ito T. ↓, Ura J. ↑,
64', Hama T. ↓, Fuseya S. ↑,
64', Sakai S. ↓, Imase J. ↑,
68', Nagao Y. ↓, Maeda R. ↑,
68', Yamamoto H. ↓, Saito S. ↑,
78', Yoshida A. ↓, Fukazawa S. ↑,
87', Ueda K. 🟨,
88', Tsukui T. ↓, Ushizawa T. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )).

Kataller Toyama is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mito HollyHock is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Mito HollyHock has had a series of home games.

Mito HollyHock might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kataller Toyama won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kataller Toyama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 League
31.05.25	Blaublitz Akita - Kataller Toyama	2:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
21.05.25	Kataller Toyama - Avispa Fukuoka	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
17.05.25	Consadole Sapporo - Kataller Toyama	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Kataller Toyama - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
06.05.25	Kataller Toyama - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLTL
- Mito HollyHock
Japan J2 League
31.05.25	Mito HollyHock - V-Varen Nagasaki	3:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
24.05.25	Mito HollyHock - Sagamihara	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
17.05.25	Mito HollyHock - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Mito HollyHock - Blaublitz Akita	2:1 ✺
06.05.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - Mito HollyHock	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
11.10.14	Mito HollyHock - Kataller Toyama	2:3
14.06.14	Kataller Toyama - Mito HollyHock	0:3
27.10.13	Kataller Toyama - Mito HollyHock	2:1

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