Match Info

ECUADOR: Liga Pro - First stage - Round 9

Date: 18 April 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)

Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)


	Imbabura		Universidad Católica del Ecuador

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.57	Watch
	4.6	3.8	1.57
	4.75	4	1.62	Watch
	5.31	4.04	1.61
	5.31	4.04	1.61
	4.8	3.9	1.57
	4.92	4	1.62	Watch
	4.7	4	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (4.5)	3.97 ↑ (3.75)	1.6 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imbabura
19.1%

Draw
23.2%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

25%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

23.9%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imbabura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Imbabura - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Predictions

Users Predictions: Universidad Católica del Ecuador will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Valero M. (G) 4. Medina A. 22. Mendoza E. 6. Benitez J. 3. Cabeza E. 8. Caicedo R. 10. Espinoza T. 20. Arteaga M. 11. Burbano D. 9. Paz F. 13. Chala M.	22. Romo R. (G) 29. Anangono G. 15. Vallecilla G. 28. Diaz M. 18. Loor L. 4. Minda K. 10. Martinez F. 27. Quevedo K. 21. Nieto L. 30. Diaz I. 16. Cifuentes J.
Substitutes
34. Alcivar J. 5. Cevallos G. 15. Chavez R. 2. Coronel G. 18. Folleco W. 31. Guisamano J. 21. Mina M. 90. Minda P. (G) 7. Pantoja L. 29. Pita J. 26. Santacruz A. 70. Villamil A.	20. Castillo Saa J. L. 8. Clavijo E. 9. Fajardo J. 37. Grillo F. 12. Lara J. (G) 52. Moreno J. 25. Mosquera I. 3. Quinonez J. 7. Rodriguez A. 55. Troya R. 11. Vivar J.
Coaches
Armas J.	Celico J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Paz F. ⚽, Mendoza E. (A),
10', Arteaga M. 🟨,
23', Anangono G. 🟨,
37', Cifuentes J. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Burbano D. ⚽, Espinoza T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Anangono G. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
46', Loor L. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
54', Fajardo J. 🟨,
59', Minda K. 🟨,
64', 2 - 1, Diaz I. (Pen),
73', Espinoza T. ↓, Pantoja L. ↑,
75', Quevedo K. ↓, Vivar J. ↑,
79', Chala M. ↓, Coronel G. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Fajardo J. ⚽,
87', Valero M. 🟨,
87', Cifuentes J. (Pen),
89', Grillo F. 🟨,
90+1', Cifuentes J. ↓, Castillo Saa J. L. ↑,
90+7', Burbano D. ↓, Guisamano J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 5).

Imbabura is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Universidad Católica is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Universidad Católica is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.04.24	El Nacional - Imbabura	2:0 ✺
08.04.24	Imbabura - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
28.03.24	LDU Quito - Imbabura	5:0 ✺
23.03.24	Imbabura - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
19.03.24	Orense - Imbabura	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLTW
- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
14.04.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Independiente del Valle	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Delfín - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:2 ✺
31.03.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Orense	5:1 ✺
17.03.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca	3:3 ✺
11.03.24	Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWTW

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