Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 24

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne (Loja)

Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Libertad Loja		Universidad Católica del Ecuador

	1	X	2
	4.10	3.50	1.79	Watch
	4.00	3.30	1.73
	3.85	3.45	1.88	Watch
	4.20	3.62	1.91
	4.36	3.55	1.81	Watch
	4.00	3.55	1.86
	4.30	3.46	1.82	Watch
	3.85	3.35	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↓ (4.23)	3.47 ↓ (3.67)	1.83 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Libertad Loja
22.7%

Draw
26.7%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

25.4%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

24.6%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Libertad Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Uni Católica will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Cabezas D. (C) 6. Caicedo B. 2. Morinigo R. 19. Quinonez O. 17. Patta E. 80. Pineda Arana X. E. 63. Valencia C. 20. Rodriguez Perlaza J. G. 70. Branda V. 33. Chere A. 49. Coronel D.	12. Lara J. (G) 24. Nazareno D. 33. Canga L. 4. Jhon Chancellor 14. Mina J. 5. Cacciabue J. 10. Martinez F. (C) 30. Mejia E. 28. Diaz M. 32. Alonso M. 7. Fajardo J.
Substitutes
52. Bao A. (G) 11. Batalla H. 9. Caicedo E. 8. Castro S. 10. Cortez Casierra G. J. 66. Estacio J. 5. Gruezo C. 7. Orejuela C. 18. Quinonez Y.	29. Anangono G. 8. Clavijo E. 1. Cueva L. (G) 9. Londono A. 37. Medina C. 15. Moreno L. 18. Palacios B. 23. Rodriguez A. 19. Sevillano M. 17. Troya R. 44. Valencia E. 26. Yanez S.
Coaches
Buch J. P.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Canga L. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Branda V. ⚽, Valencia C. (A),
41', Martinez F. 🟨,
45+5', Diaz M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Alonso M. ↓, Londono A. ↑,
46', Cacciabue J. ↓, Clavijo E. ↑,
57', Pineda Arana X. E. 🟨,
61', Coronel D. ↓, Orejuela C. ↑,
67', Pineda Arana X. E. ↓, Estacio J. ↑,
67', Chere A. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Caicedo E. ⚽, Orejuela C. (A),
70', Martinez F. ↓, Yanez S. ↑,
70', Mina J. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
75', Branda V. ↓, Cortez Casierra G. J. ↑,
76', Morinigo R. 🟨,
85', 2 - 1, Yanez S. ⚽, Fajardo J. (A),
90', Estacio J. 🟥,
90+1', Cortez Casierra G. J. 🟥,
90+7', Nazareno D. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1.

Libertad is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Uni Católica is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Uni Católica is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. Catolica	31	14	9	8	52:29	23	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
31.07.26	Libertad Loja - Orense	3:0 ✺
27.07.26	Mushuc Runa - Libertad Loja	0:2 ✺
21.07.26	Libertad Loja - Delfín	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Libertad Loja	1:0 ✺
15.07.26	Libertad Loja - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 WWWLW
- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Copa
05.08.26	Vinotinto - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:3 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.08.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Técnico Universitario	5:0 ✺
27.07.26	Guayaquil City - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:0 ✺
21.07.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:1 ✺
18.07.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.04.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja	2:0
21.11.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja	1:1
19.10.25	Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1
16.08.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja	1:1
28.04.25	Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	3:1
10.08.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Libertad Loja	1:2
11.03.24	Libertad Loja - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:1

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