Match Info

K League 1 - Round 25

Date: 26 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Anyang Stadium (Anyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Anyang		Incheon United

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.3	1.85	Watch
	3.20	3.25	2.20
	3.85	3.2	1.9
	3.96	3.25	2.26
	3.56	3.21	2.12	Watch
	4.25	3.45	1.91
	4.07	3.45	1.94	Watch
	3.9	3.3	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (2.6)	3.3 ↑ (3)	2.02 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anyang
24.6%

Draw
28.6%

Incheon United
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.7%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

30.2%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anyang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anyang's form might have worsened.

Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Incheon United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anyang than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anyang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Incheon United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	75%	12.5%

Anyang - Incheon United Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Anyang will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Incheon will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kim Da-Sol (G) 99. Ju Hyun-Woo 4. Lee Chang-Yong (C) 21. Kwon Kyung-Won 25. Kim J. 7. Matheus Oliveira 13. Han K. 26. Lee Jin-Yong 27. Choi Geon-Joo 19. Kim Un 71. Chae Hyun-woo	1. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 13. Choi Seung-gu 4. Kim Gun-Hee 2. Ibiza 32. Lee Ju-Yong (C) 10. Lee Dong-Ryul 15. Seo Jae-Min 26. Myung-joo L. 11. Gerso 30. Kim Young-whan 99. Ferrier M.
Substitutes
11. Airton Moises 33. Bakker D. 28. Blaise Tsague 17. Kang Ji-hun 24. Kim Bo-Kyung 22. Kim Dong-Jin 23. Kim Jeong-Hoon (G) 8. Kim Jung-Hyun 5. Kim Young-Chan	23. Jeong Chi-In 39. Kim Myung-soon 17. Kim Seong-Min 70. Leandro Ribeiro 72. Lee Chung-Yong 5. Lee Myoung-Joo 21. Lee Tae-Hui (G) 9. Mugosa S. 20. Park Kyung-sub
Coaches
Ryu Byeong-hoon	Yoon Jong-Hwan

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Myung-joo L. 🟨,
30', Han K. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Lee Dong-Ryul ⚽, Kim Young-whan (A),
45+1', Matheus Oliveira (Penalty Awarded),
45+1', 1 - 1, Matheus Oliveira ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kim Young-whan ↓, Lee Chung-Yong ↑,
53', Ferrier M. ↓, Mugosa S. ↑,
53', Gerso ↓, Leandro Ribeiro ↑,
57', Ibiza 🟨,
64', Han K. ↓, Kim Jung-Hyun ↑,
72', Myung-joo L. ↓, Lee Myoung-Joo ↑,
75', Choi Geon-Joo ↓, Airton Moises ↑,
75', Lee Jin-Yong ↓, Bakker D. ↑,
79', Lee Dong-Ryul ↓, Kim Seong-Min ↑,
81', Kim J. ↓, Kim Dong-Jin ↑,
81', Kim Un ↓, Blaise Tsague ↑,
83', Ibiza 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Matheus Oliveira ⚽,
86', Chae Hyun-woo 🟨,
87', Lee Myoung-Joo 🟨,
89', Seo Jae-Min 🟨,
90', Lee Chung-Yong 🟨,
90+1', Lee Chang-Yong 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

Anyang is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Incheon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Anyang may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Incheon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Anyang won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Anyang won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Incheon	31	11	9	11	39:33	6	42
8	Anyang	31	10	11	10	39:47	-8	41

Last Results with these Odds

Anyang - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.3%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Incheon United - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 35.96%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Anyang
South Korean K-League 1
22.08.26	Anyang - FC Seoul	0:7 ✺
South Korean Cup
19.08.26	Anyang - Jeju	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
15.08.26	Jeju - Anyang	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Anyang - Daejeon Citizen	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Ulsan HD - Anyang	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLL
- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 1
23.08.26	Gwangju - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Incheon United - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Jeju - Incheon United	3:3 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Gimpo - Incheon United	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.26	Incheon United - Bucheon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
12.07.26	Incheon United - Anyang	0:1
22.03.26	Anyang - Incheon United	0:1
South Korean Cup
14.04.21	Incheon United - Anyang	0:3

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