Match Info

ASIA: AFC CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 5

Date: 28 November 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Sport 1


	Incheon United		Yokohama F. Marinos

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.6	2	Watch
	3.67	3.65	2.04
	3.74	3.57	2.01
	3	3.5	2
	3.58	3.64	1.97	Watch
	3.15	3.35	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.61)	3.54 ↑ (3.25)	2.03 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Incheon United
27.5%

Draw
26.4%

Yokohama F. Marinos
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

28%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

28.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Incheon United's form might have worsened.

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yokohama F. Marinos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Incheon United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yokohama F. Marinos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

Incheon United - Yokohama F. Marinos Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Incheon will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 3. Kim Yeon-Soo 47. Kim Dong-Min 4. Oh Ban-Suk (C) 37. Hong Si-Hoo 26. Park Hyun-Bin 7. Kim Do-Hyuk 30. Choi Woo-Jin 77. Park Seung-Ho 99. Cheon Seong-Hoon 27. Kim Bo-Sub	1. Ichimori J. (G) 27. Matsubara K. 15. Kamijima T. 5. Eduardo 25. Yoshio K. 30. Nishimura T. 6. Watanabe K. 8. Kida T. (C) 18. Mizunuma K. 14. Uenaka A. 7. Elber
Substitutes
10. Hernandes R. d. S. 14. Jeong Dong-Yeon 13. Kang Yun-Koo 44. Kim Geon-Hui 33. Kim Hyun-Seo 25. Kim Min-Seog 66. Kim Se-Hoon 55. Kwon Han-Jin 21. Lee Tae-Hui (G) 15. Lim Hyeong-Jin 28. Min Kyeong-Hyeon 38. Park Jin-Hong	11. Anderson Lopes 21. Iikura H. (G) 17. Inoue K. 23. Miyaichi R. 36. Murakami Y. 29. Nam Tae-Hee 50. Obi P. O. (G) 35. Sakakibara K. 41. Sugimoto K. 33. Tsunoda R. 28. Yamane R. 20. Yan
Coaches
Jo Sung-Hwan	Muscat K.

Preview

Recent matches Incheon is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Yokohama FM in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Incheon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 1
24.11.23	Incheon United - Ulsan HD	3:1 ✺
12.11.23	Incheon United - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
07.11.23	Shandong Taishan - Incheon United	3:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
01.11.23	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Incheon United	3:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
28.10.23	Gwangju - Incheon United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLLW
- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
24.11.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Albirex Niigata	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
07.11.23	Kaya - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
28.10.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:4 ✺
AFC Champions League
25.10.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kaya	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
19.09.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Incheon United	2:4

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