Match Info

J1 League - Round 37

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Nissan Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Yokohama F. Marinos		Cerezo Osaka

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.9	2.3	Watch
	2.72	3.65	2.28	Watch
	2.79	3.95	2.41
	2.40	3.63	2.73	Watch
	2.65	3.94	2.38	Watch
	2.75	3.75	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.38)	3.8 ↑ (3.78)	2.4 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama F. Marinos
35.7%

Draw
24.9%

Cerezo Osaka
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

24.9%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	20%	30%

Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kimura R. (G) 16. Kato R. 44. Deng T. 22. Tsunoda R. 35. Sekitomi K. 8. Kida T. 6. Watanabe K. 14. Uenaka A. 37. Croux J. 48. Tanimura K. 17. Inoue K.	1. Fukui K. (G) 16. Okuda H. 3. Shindo R. 44. Hatanaka S. 22. Takahashi N. 10. Tanaka S. 5. Kida H. 13. Nakajima M. 48. Shibayama M. 9. Rafael Ratao 11. Thiago Andrade
Substitutes
20. Amano J. 26. David D. 45. Jean Claude 41. Matsumura K. 18. Onaiwu G. 19. Park Il-gyu (G) 33. Suwama K. 28. Yamane R. 30. Yuri Araujo	27. Cools D. 29. Furuyama K. 19. Homma S. 31. Inoue R. 8. Kagawa S. 21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 66. Ohata A. 55. Vitor Bueno 35. Yoshino K.
Coaches
Oshima H.	Papastamatis A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Uenaka A. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Rafael Ratao (Pen),
45+3', Kimura R. 🟨,
45+5', Takahashi N. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 2 - 1, Croux J. ⚽, Watanabe K. (A),
65', Takahashi N. 🟨,
67', Thiago Andrade ↓, Ohata A. ↑,
67', Kida H. ↓, Vitor Bueno ↑,
67', Okuda H. ↓, Cools D. ↑,
68', Deng T. 🟨,
71', Inoue K. ↓, Yuri Araujo ↑,
71', Croux J. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
78', Shibayama M. ↓, Homma S. ↑,
78', Nakajima M. ↓, Kagawa S. ↑,
84', Uenaka A. ↓, Onaiwu G. ↑,
90+3', Sekitomi K. ↓, Jean Claude ↑,
90+3', Tanimura K. ↓, David D. ↑,
90+5', Jean Claude 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 1, David D. ⚽, Yuri Araujo (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 2.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Yokohama FM: Matsubara K. (Knee Injury) Quinones J. (Yellow Cards) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Watanabe T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L. (Knee Injury) Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Noborizato K. (Knee Injury) Uejo S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Rafael Ratao (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 1.1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Cerezo Osaka - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.56%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
09.11.25	Kyoto Sanga - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:3 ✺
25.10.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Sanfrecce Hiroshima	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Urawa Red Diamonds	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 WWWLW
- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
09.11.25	Shimizu S-Pulse - Cerezo Osaka	1:4 ✺
25.10.25	Cerezo Osaka - Kawasaki Frontale	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Fagiano Okayama - Cerezo Osaka	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
11.05.25	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0
24.08.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka	4:0
27.04.24	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:2
12.11.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka	2:0
01.04.23	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:1
10.07.22	Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:2
19.02.22	Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka	2:2

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