Match Info

Date: 2 December 2020, Wednesday


	Independiente		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.5	6.5	Watch
	1.45	4.1	6
	1.44	4	6.4	Watch
	1.49	4.1	6
	1.5	4.31	6.56
	1.47	4	7	Watch
	1.48	4.4	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.34)	4.2 ↓ (4.62)	6.41 ↓ (7.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
63.3%

Draw
22.1%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

19.8%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

11.2%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-24.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atletico Fenix Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Independiente - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 4-1.

Independiente is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fenix is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Independiente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Independiente is absolute favorite.

In this match Independiente is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Independiente won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Liga Panamena de Futbol
01.12.20	San Francisco - Independiente	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
28.11.20	Colón - Independiente	1:2 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
28.11.20	Independiente - Atlético Chiriquí	2:0 ✺
25.11.20	Independiente - Plaza Amador	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.11.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Independiente	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWTW
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
28.11.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
25.11.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Independiente	1:4 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.11.20	Defensor Sporting - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1 ✺
11.11.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0 ✺
08.11.20	Danubio - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
25.11.20	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Independiente	1:4

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