Match Info

URUGUAY: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Franzini (Montevideo)

Referee: Motta S. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Uruguay	VTV+
World	Disney+


	Defensor Sporting		Atletico Fenix Montevideo

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.1
	1.85	3.5	4	Watch
	1.85	3.56	4.51
	1.88	3.45	4.09	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.2
	1.82	3.43	4.37	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.84)	3.46 ↑ (3.41)	4.2 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Defensor Sporting
50.8%

Draw
27%

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27.3%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

26.3%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensor Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Defensor Sporting - Atletico Fenix Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: Defensor Sporting will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dawson K. (G) 11. Agazzi L. 14. Giampaoli R. 3. De los Santos G. (C) 16. Alvarez J. 18. Soria A. 5. Montoya W. 8. Barrios F. 10. Valiente J. 7. Spinelli C. 24. Mansilla B.	25. Marquez E. (G) 24. Alvez J. 5. Schetino A. (C) 13. Pereira G. 20. Chopitea R. 16. Guisolfo B. 21. Viera S. 28. Rodriguez F. 27. Cachi M. 26. de Marco S. 19. Juambeltz M.
Substitutes
6. Amaro M. 22. Barco A. 17. Cadenazzi F. 9. Cambon A. 30. Cuello E. 1. Dufour M. (G) 27. Jorge J. 21. Prieto K. 15. Viacava J. 2. Ymbert L.	14. Alfaro A. 8. Breno Caetano 54. Cabrera I. 9. Da Silva S. 22. Da Silveira A. 40. De Leon F. 7. Fernandez W. 29. Franca S. 33. Requena A. (G) 6. Scotto S.
Coaches
Navarro A.	Vigneri N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Barrios F. 🟨,
44', Chopitea R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Juambeltz M. ↓, Da Silva S. ↑,
47', Schetino A. 🟨,
57', Valiente J. ↓, Barco A. ↑,
57', Barrios F. ↓, Cadenazzi F. ↑,
58', Chopitea R. ↓, Breno Caetano ↑,
58', Cachi M. ↓, Alfaro A. ↑,
65', Marquez E. 🟨,
69', Agazzi L. 🟨,
72', de Marco S. ↓, De Leon F. ↑,
78', Guisolfo B. ↓, Scotto S. ↑,
80', Mansilla B. ↓, Jorge J. ↑,
82', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
84', 1 - 0, Spinelli C. ⚽,
85', Montoya W. ↓, Viacava J. ↑,
88', Cadenazzi F. 🟨,
90+7', Da Silva S. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensor Sporting won 2.

Defensor Sporting in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fenix is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fenix could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Defensor Sporting is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Defensor Sporting won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 25:34 (average 1.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Defensor Sporting won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensor Sporting
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.11.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Uruguay Copa
31.10.24	Defensor Sporting - Ferro Carril	6:0 ✺
24.10.24	Defensor Sporting - Racing Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
21.10.24	Defensor Sporting - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1 ✺
16.10.24	River Plate Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWWWW
- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
03.11.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Racing Montevideo	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2 ✺
17.10.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Cerro	1:3 ✺
11.10.24	Liverpool Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
14.07.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:2
05.05.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:2
19.08.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:1
06.02.23	Defensor Sporting - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:3
20.09.22	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	0:0
15.04.22	Defensor Sporting - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:1
14.02.21	Defensor Sporting - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:2

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