Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 6

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Parque Capurro (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Atletico Fenix Montevideo		Deportivo Maldonado

	1	X	2
	2	2.87	3.6
	2.27	2.95	3.4
				Watch
	2.15	2.7	3.75
	2.18	2.89	3.4
	1.91	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.42)	2.88 ↓ (3.04)	3.63 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atletico Fenix Montevideo
43.3%

Draw
31.6%

Deportivo Maldonado
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

29.7%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

29.3%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atletico Fenix Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atletico Fenix Montevideo's performance.

Deportivo Maldonado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maldonado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Fenix Montevideo than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atletico Fenix Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maldonado than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maldonado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Noble Sequeira A. M. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Cabrera M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Maldonado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fenix is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Fenix won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Fenix won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Fenix Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.06.25	Oriental de La Paz - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Uruguay Montevideo	2:0 ✺
31.05.25	Albion Montevideo - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0 ✺
25.05.25	Artigas - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:2 ✺
17.05.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWT
- Deportivo Maldonado SAD
Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.06.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
04.06.25	Atenas de San Carlos - Deportivo Maldonado	1:1 ✺
31.05.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Central Español	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Tacuarembó - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0 ✺
19.05.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.03.25	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	0:2
Uruguayan Primera Division
27.11.24	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:2
22.06.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:3
26.05.24	Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:1
12.11.23	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Deportivo Maldonado	1:0
05.06.23	Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1
01.04.23	Deportivo Maldonado - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	2:0

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