Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)

Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente		Sarmiento de Junín

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	6.25	Watch
	1.62	3.5	6
	1.68	3.35	5.9	Watch
	1.66	3.6	6.37
	1.65	3.52	6.3	Watch
	1.5	3.8	7
	1.64	3.6	6.07	Watch
	1.68	3.35	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.55)	3.53 ↓ (3.89)	6.22 ↓ (6.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
58%

Draw
26.8%

Sarmiento de Junín
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

24.5%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Sarmiento de Junín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (C) 4. Vera F. 26. Lomonaco K. 36. Valdez S. 3. Sporle A. 5. Loyola F. 23. Marcone I. 14. Millan L. 7. Montiel S. 9. Avalos G. 27. Tarzia D.	42. Acosta L. (G) 21. Vigo A. 44. Orihuela R. 2. Insaurralde J. (C) 26. Arismendi Y. 5. Garcia M. 31. Guiacobini T. 15. Suhr L. 10. Carabajal G. 28. Gho J. 18. Morales I.
Substitutes
77. Angulo A. 1. Blazquez J. (G) 10. Cabral L. 29. Fedorco J. 8. Galdames P. 34. Gimenez M. 18. Maestro I. 11. Mancuello F. 21. Martinez D. 20. Rodrigo Fernandez 35. Salle S. 28. Taborda E.	6. Andrada J. 12. Ayala T. (G) 22. Burgoa V. 33. Diaz G. 20. Frias F. 7. Magnin P. 40. Marquez B. 35. Marsengo A. (G) 36. Morales S. 8. Paradela F. 32. Sandoval F. 34. Seyral A.
Coaches
Vaccari J.	Sanguinetti J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Avalos G. (Pen),
32', Montiel S. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
34', Guiacobini T. 🟨,
39', Orihuela R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, Avalos G. ⚽, Loyola F. (A),
50', Gho J. 🟨,
53', Morales I. ↓, Magnin P. ↑,
53', Guiacobini T. ↓, Paradela F. ↑,
65', Garcia M. 🟨,
67', Gho J. ↓, Burgoa V. ↑,
67', Arismendi Y. ↓, Diaz G. ↑,
67', Carabajal G. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
71', Cabral L. 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Magnin P. (Pen),
83', Millan L. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
88', Paradela F. 🟨,
88', Avalos G. ↓, Gimenez M. ↑,
88', Tarzia D. ↓, Angulo A. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Independiente won 3.

Independiente is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Independiente could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Independiente is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Independiente: Tasso M. (Knee Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches Independiente won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:6 (average 1.5:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:3 (average 2.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Serie Rio de la Plata
18.01.25	Defensor Sporting - Independiente	2:5 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.12.24	Boca Juniors - Independiente	0:0 ✺
09.12.24	Independiente - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Independiente - Central Córdoba	2:0 ✺
26.11.24	Newells Old Boys - Independiente	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTWWL
- Sarmiento de Junín
Argentinian Liga Profesional
13.12.24	Banfield - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
26.11.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Platense	1:0 ✺
21.11.24	Talleres de Córdoba - Sarmiento de Junín	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
31.10.24	Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente	0:0
09.06.23	Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín	2:0
12.09.22	Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente	1:2
21.10.21	Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.03.21	Independiente - Sarmiento de Junín	6:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.10.16	Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente	0:1
03.04.16	Sarmiento de Junín - Independiente	0:0

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