Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium, Max, TNT Sports
Belarus	Okko Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	Como TV, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Plus
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
South-america	ESPN South
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente		Huracán Buenos Aires

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.8	3.8	Watch
	1.98	2.95	4.33
	2.25	2.82	3.8	Watch
	2.27	2.83	4.12
	2.24	2.85	3.97
	2.17	2.85	4.06	Watch
	2.25	2.82	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.04)	2.85 ↓ (3)	3.98 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Independiente
43.1%

Draw
33.2%

Huracán Buenos Aires
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

31.2%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

29.7%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Huracán Buenos Aires has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Buenos Aires than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	36.4%	0%

Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente: 35.2% – 92%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Independiente (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente (votes: 4 - 80%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (G) 4. Vera F. 26. Lomonaco K. 36. Valdez S. 77. Angulo A. 5. Loyola F. 23. Marcone I. (C) 7. Montiel S. 10. Cabral L. 27. Tarzia D. 34. Gimenez M.	1. Galindez H. (C) 24. Guidara T. 6. Pereyra F. 31. Pellegrino M. 25. Ibanez C. 8. Gil L. 5. Perez L. 10. Mazzantti W. 18. Miljevic M. 11. Urzi A. 43. Ramirez E.
Substitutes
9. Avalos G. 1. Blazquez J. (G) 6. Freire N. 8. Galdames P. 16. Hidalgo S. 11. Mancuello F. 22. Martinez B. 14. Millan L. 20. Rodrigo Fernandez 19. Roman P. 35. Salle S. 3. Sporle A.	9. Abila R. 17. Alanis G. 16. Cabral R. 23. Cantillo V. 3. Carrizo L. 29. De La Fuente H. 2. Goitea N. 19. Lescano L. 32. Meza S. (G) 20. Ojeda E. 26. Sequeira L. 7. Tissera M.
Coaches
Vaccari J.	Kudelka F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
25', Tarzia D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Marcone I. 🟨,
64', Tarzia D. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
64', Ramirez E. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
77', Urzi A. ↓, Alanis G. ↑,
81', Cabral L. ↓, Millan L. ↑,
81', Marcone I. ↓, Rodrigo Fernandez ↑,
87', Gimenez M. ↓, Avalos G. ↑,
87', Vera F. ↓, Galdames P. ↑,
89', Montiel S. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 6)
1, Sequeira L. (Pen),
1, Avalos G. (Pen),
2, Guidara T. (Pen),
2, Montiel S. (Pen),
3, Pellegrino M. (Pen),
3, Galdames P. (Pen),
4, Miljevic M. (Pen),
4, Loyola F. (Pen),
5, Gil L. (Pen),
5, Lomonaco K. (Pen),
6, Pereyra F. (Pen),
6, Angulo A. (Pen),
7, Mazzantti W. (Pen),
7, Hidalgo S. (Pen),

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Independiente is the team to beat.

There will not play in Independiente: Paredes F. (Muscle Injury) Sporle A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Huracán: Carrizo L. (Knee Injury) Zabala D. (Knee Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.2:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.05.25	Boca Juniors - Independiente	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
15.05.25	Independiente - Guaraní Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.05.25	Independiente - Independiente Rivadavia	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.25	Boston River - Independiente	1:5 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.25	Rosario Central - Independiente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL
- Huracán Buenos Aires
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.05.25	Rosario Central - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
14.05.25	América de Cali - Huracán Buenos Aires	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
11.05.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra	3:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.05.25	Racing Montevideo - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Barracas Central	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.11.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente	1:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
08.02.24	Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente	0:0
14.09.23	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.07.23	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:0
16.08.22	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
07.05.22	Independiente - Huracán Buenos Aires	3:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.09.21	Huracán Buenos Aires - Independiente	0:1

Upcoming Matches