Match Info

Date: 28 April 2021, Wednesday


	Independiente		Montevideo City Torque

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.57	3.8	5
	1.63	3.7	4.7	Watch
	1.63	3.55	4.7
	1.65	4.07	5.11
	1.6	3.7	5.8	Watch
	1.64	3.74	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.48)	3.74 ↓ (4.05)	5.07 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
57.1%

Draw
24.7%

Montevideo City Torque
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

22.8%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

14.3%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente's form might have worsened.

Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-18%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montevideo City Torque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Independiente - Montevideo City Torque Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Montevideo City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Independiente have a series of guest games.

In this match Independiente is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.04.21	Unión Santa Fe - Independiente	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
21.04.21	Guabirá - Independiente	1:3 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
18.04.21	Independiente - Defensa y Justicia	1:0 ✺
10.04.21	Racing - Independiente	1:0 ✺
03.04.21	Talleres de Córdoba - Independiente	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWWLL
- Montevideo City Torque
Copa Sudamericana
21.04.21	Montevideo City Torque - Bahia	1:1 ✺
14.04.21	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	0:2 ✺
07.04.21	Montevideo City Torque - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	0:0 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.03.21	Montevideo City Torque - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
24.03.21	Liverpool Montevideo - Montevideo City Torque	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWTWL

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