Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Libertadores de América (Avellaneda)

Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Independiente		Talleres de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.1	4.75	Watch
	1.95	3	4.33
	1.92	3.15	4.35	Watch
	1.94	3.26	4.77
	1.98	3.19	4.26	Watch
	1.91	3	4.33
	1.92	3.24	4.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.98)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	4.5 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente
49%

Draw
30.1%

Talleres de Córdoba
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

29.7%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

30%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Talleres de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talleres de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Independiente - Talleres de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Independiente will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Talleres will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Talleres (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Rey R. (C) 4. Arias S. 26. Lomonaco K. 36. Valdez S. 3. Valenzuela M. 23. Marcone I. 7. Montiel S. 8. Millan L. 40. Malcorra I. 19. Abaldo M. 9. Avalos G.	22. Herrera G. (C) 20. Schott A. 4. Catalan M. 44. Fernandez S. 3. Maidana A. 30. Baroni G. 13. Sforza J. 8. Ortegoza U. 18. Cristaldo F. 37. Rick 77. Martinez R.
Substitutes
1. Blazquez J. (G) 10. Cabral L. 39. De Irastorza J. 13. Fedorco J. 6. Freire N. 29. Godoy L. 28. Gutierrez M. 11. Mancuello F. 16. Perez Curci M. 25. Pussetto I. 5. Rodrigo Fernandez 43. Valdez F.	23. Baez Corradi G. 1. Barbi S. (G) 26. Caceres M. 45. Chamorro T. 36. Chiavassa E. 49. Davila V. 32. Ferrari L. 14. Guth R. 19. Palomino J. L. 7. Valoyes D. 28. Vigo A.
Coaches
Quinteros G.	Tevez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Millan L. 🟨,
29', Ortegoza U. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 1 - 0, Avalos G. ⚽,
66', Millan L. ↓, Rodrigo Fernandez ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Schott A. ⚽, Baroni G. (A),
70', Sforza J. ↓, Galarza M. A. ↑,
70', Rick 🟨,
76', Montiel S. ↓, Valdez F. ↑,
76', Marcone I. ↓, Cabral L. ↑,
78', Rick ↓, Caceres M. ↑,
78', Baroni G. ↓, Chamorro T. ↑,
78', Schott A. ↓, Valoyes D. ↑,
80', Martinez R. ↓, Davila V. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Davila V. ⚽, Valoyes D. (A),
90+1', Abaldo M. 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Independiente is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Independiente: Montiel S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Talleres: Baez Corradi G. (Injury) Barticciotto B. (Injury) Depietri V. (Injury) Gomez M. (Inactive) Valoyes D. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Independiente won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Independiente won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Independiente
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.03.26	Instituto Córdoba - Independiente	2:1 ✺
10.03.26	Independiente - Unión Santa Fe	4:4 ✺
28.02.26	Independiente - Central Córdoba	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza - Independiente	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Independiente Rivadavia - Independiente	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LTWTL
- Talleres de Córdoba
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.03.26	Belgrano - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
12.03.26	Talleres de Córdoba - Instituto Córdoba	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Talleres de Córdoba - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
24.02.26	Central Córdoba - Talleres de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Rosario Central - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
20.07.25	Independiente - Talleres de Córdoba	1:2
29.01.25	Talleres de Córdoba - Independiente	2:3
11.05.24	Independiente - Talleres de Córdoba	1:3
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
15.04.24	Independiente - Talleres de Córdoba	2:2
26.11.23	Talleres de Córdoba - Independiente	3:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.01.23	Talleres de Córdoba - Independiente	0:1
Copa Argentina
28.09.22	Independiente - Talleres de Córdoba	0:1 penalties

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