Match Info
Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 2Date: 4 September 2025, ThursdayLocation: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
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Imbabura |
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Atlético Vinotinto |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.15 |
2.95 |
3.2 |
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 |
2.04 |
3.1 |
3.82 |
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3.16 |
3.43 |
2.14 |
Watch |
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2.02 |
3.13 |
3.52 |
Watch |
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2.44 |
3 |
2.65 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.36 ↓ (2.44) |
3.12 ↑ (3) |
3.07 ↑ (2.65) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Imbabura 39.6% | Draw 29.9% | Atlético Vinotinto 30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Imbabura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Atlético Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+2%)Imbabura - Atlético Vinotinto Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Imbabura will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Imbabura (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Imbabura (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Imbabura (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 71', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 82', 🟥,
- 83', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Imbabura won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).Including home match between the teams, Imbabura won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ecuadorian Serie B | | | 23.07.25 | Imbabura - Atlético Vinotinto | 1:0 | | 14.05.25 | Atlético Vinotinto - Imbabura | 3:1 |
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