Match Info
Serie B - Promotion Group - Round 6Date: 3 October 2025, FridayLocation: Estadio Olimpico de Ibarra (Ibarra)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
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Leones del Norte |
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Independiente Juniors |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.66 |
3.3 |
4.6 |
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 |
1.72 |
3.34 |
5.16 |
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 |
1.80 |
3.25 |
4.74 |
Watch |
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1.7 |
3.35 |
4.73 |
Watch |
 |
1.66 |
3.25 |
4.8 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↑
(1.69) |
3.3 ↓
(3.45) |
4.81 ↑
(4.63) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Leones del Norte
53.4% | Draw
27.6% | Independiente Juniors
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leones del Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones del Norte than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.8%)Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 70', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones del Norte won 1.Leones del Norte has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Independiente Jr's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Independiente Jr may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Leones del Norte is a strong favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Leones del Norte won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Leones del Norte won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ecuadorian Serie B | | | 03.09.25 | Independiente Juniors - Leones del Norte | 1:1 | | 09.07.25 | Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors | 2:0 | | 29.04.25 | Independiente Juniors - Leones del Norte | 1:0 | | 24.10.24 | Independiente Juniors - Leones del Norte | 1:1 | | 03.09.24 | Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors | 0:1 | | 26.06.24 | Independiente Juniors - Leones del Norte | 2:0 | | 07.05.24 | Leones del Norte - Independiente Juniors | 1:1 |
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