Match Info

Serie B - Round 18

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Christian Benítez Betancourt (Guayaquil)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Guayaquil City		Imbabura

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.42	3.9	6.5
	1.43	3.85	6.7	Watch
	1.43	3.97	7.33
				Watch
	1.44	3.75	7.5
	1.41	3.88	7.6	Watch
	1.49	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.51)	3.89 ↓ (4.1)	6.86 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guayaquil City
63.3%

Draw
23.4%

Imbabura
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.5%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

21.9%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guayaquil City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Imbabura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guayaquil City than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Guayaquil City - Imbabura Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guayaquil City (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Imbabura (2.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Guayaquil City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guayaquil City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Imbabura (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Ayovi Caicedo J. J. ⚽,
23', 2 - 0, Bolanos M. ⚽,
25', 3 - 0, Naula A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

Guayaquil City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Imbabura is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Guayaquil City is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guayaquil City won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guayaquil City FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
08.07.25	22 de Julio - Guayaquil City	1:1 ✺
02.07.25	Guayaquil City - Chacaritas	6:0 ✺
26.06.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Guayaquil City	3:2 ✺
19.06.25	9 de Octubre - Guayaquil City	0:1 ✺
12.06.25	Guayaquil City - Independiente Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLWW
- Imbabura SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
08.07.25	Imbabura - San Antonio	1:1 ✺
03.07.25	Vargas Torres - Imbabura	1:0 ✺
25.06.25	Imbabura - Cumbayá	0:1 ✺
17.06.25	Gualaceo - Imbabura	3:2 ✺
11.06.25	Imbabura - 9 de Octubre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
08.05.25	Imbabura - Guayaquil City	0:0
Ecuadorian Copa
02.07.22	Imbabura - Guayaquil City	2:1 penalties

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